Posted by: panokroko | November 17, 2010

Warming or Not warming planet debate finally put to rest…

Finally we can conclude that the Troposphere is warming too, as more than five decades of data show conclusively interpreted now.
Much like the warming measurements for the Earth’s surface, now the troposphere, the key atmospheric layer, is measuring warmer consistently. And unequivocally.

Troposphere’s increases in temperatures are also, worryingly enough, linked to weather and extreme weather events…

And now there is a new study that examines  fully and resolves conclusively, the 20-year-old controversy over the lack of proper atmospheric data that had caused undue excitement to climate sceptics and climate denialists who in turn alarmed the population using and waving about their falsified records warning of a giant Hollywood conspiracy.

We can now say beyond doubt that it’s not only Earth’s surface that is warming, but the troposphere.

Troposphere is  the lowest level of the atmosphere, where weather occurs, and it is heating up fast too.

And this was published by a joint U.S. and British meteorologists organizations this week.

In a review of five decades of data on troposphere temperatures, the scientists found that warming in this key atmospheric layer was really piling on and occurring, just the same as in the Earth’s surface.

And unsurprisingly the tropospheric warming was occurring just as many researchers expected it would, because more greenhouse gases built up in the atmosphere, released by human activity and were trapping the heat closer to the Earth.

This study aims to put to rest a controversy that began 20 years ago, when a 1990 scientific report based on satellite observations raised questions about whether the troposphere was warming, even as Earth’s surface temperatures climbed.

The original discrepancy between what the earth scientists and their climate models predicted, and what satellites and weather balloons measured – had to do with how the observations were made - according to Dian Seidel, research meteorologist for the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Because it is relatively easy to track surface temperatures, since most weather stations sat on or close to the ground, but measuring temperature in the troposphere is far more complicated.
And specifically because of that, starting in the late 1950s, scientists dangled weather instruments from big balloons, with the data sent back to researchers by radio transmission as the balloons rose through the six miles (10 km) of the troposphere.
These balloons and later satellites, brought back actionable data streams that we used to clarify the warming planet debate.
The first satellite data on troposphere temperature was gathered in 1979, but neither weather balloons nor these early satellite weather observations were accurate measures of climate change.
They were weather balloons and weather satellites, which are far from being climate balloons and climate satellites. They were not calibrated precisely enough to monitor small changes in climate that we expect to see.
Yet when the 1990 study was published, showing a lack of warming in the troposphere especially in the tropics, it prompted some to question the reality of surface warming and whether climate models could be relied upon, NOAA said in a statement.
However now we can slay that monster and put that debate to bed conclusively.
Mainly because this latest paper reviewed over one hundred and ninety five researched scientific treatises on the subject, all published, peer reviewed and debated, all 195 cited papers, climate models, climate computer model results, and atmospheric data sets; and found no fundamental discrepancy between what was predicted and what is happening in the troposphere.
It is really warming.
That the troposphere is warming is only what the study found.
Yet this study is not alone. It is just one of several published this year pushing back against those who doubt the reality of climate change and the role human activities play in it.
Scientists at NOAA, scientists at the United Kingdom’s Met Office. and those at the University of Reading, have all contributed to the paper.
And this paper was published on Monday in Wiley’s Interdisciplinary Reviews.
At the Climate Change, a peer-reviewed journal.
Yours,
Pano
PS:
With the UNFCCC International climate change talks set out as COP16 set to start on Nov. 29 in Cancun, Mexico, we are bolstered.
Yet the prospects for a global Climate deal to curb greenhouse emissions are considered non existent.
Therefore we hold People’s COP in London, Brussels and Paris to bust open the arcane process of the Un and get a deal for the people.
Right now optimism abounds in London.
Maybe something to do with the prince’s announced nuptials,  or with the merging of the People’s destiny and their actions…
Who knows – but it works wonders for morale…
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