Posted by: Dr Pano Kroko | December 4, 2014

Ode to Thanks

Ode to Thanks
by Pablo Neruda

Thanks to the word that says thanks!
Thanks to thanks,
word
that melts
iron and snow!
The world is a threatening place
until
thanks
makes the rounds
from one pair of lips to another,
soft as a bright
feather
and sweet as a petal of sugar,
filling the mouth with its sound
or else a mumbled
whisper.
Life becomes human again:
it’s no longer an open window.
A bit of brightness
strikes into the forest,
and we can sing again beneath the leaves.
Thanks, you’re the medicine we take
to save us from
the bite of scorn.
Your light brightens the altar of harshness.
Or maybe
a tapestry
known
to far distant peoples.
Travelers
fan out
into the wilds,
and in the jungle
of strangers,
merci
rings out
while the hustling train
changes countries,
sweeping away borders,
then spasibo
clinging to pointy
volcanoes, to fire and freezing cold,
or danke, yes! and gracias, and
the world turns into a table:
a single word has wiped it clean,
plates and glasses gleam,
silverware tinkles,
and the tablecloth is as broad as a plain.
Thank you, thanks,
for going out and returning,
for rising up
and settling down.
We know, thanks,
that you don’t fill every space-
you’re only a word-
but
where your little petal
appears
the daggers of pride take cover,
and there’s a penny’s worth of smiles.

Yours,
Pano

PS:
By now, most of us have heard the news: grateful people are happier, healthier and generally more fulfilled.

And while these are all really great side effects of gratitude, for me, one of the coolest things about gratitude is the way it affects the heart. The heart creates an electromagnetic field that expands up to five feet from the body. Its electrical field is 60 times stronger in amplitude than that of the brain.

Studies show that when people cultivate positive feelings, the heart’s frequency changes and its waves become smoother and more consistent, while anxiety or stress caused waves to be shorter and less organized. Though most positive feelings were capable of affecting the heart in this way, researchers noted that gratitude changed the heart’s rhythm more easily and faster than any of the others.

What’s more is that this frequency can even “entrain” hearts and brains nearby. It’s especially likely that the heart with smoothest, most “coherent” frequency will be the heart that other people sync up with. So if you’re cultivating gratitude, it’s probable that you’re changing the feeling state of those around you for the better too.

Basically, even when we aren’t aware of it, our heart is constantly communicating with those around us. But as complex as it all may seem, intuitively, it seems that humans have been aware of this chatting between hearts for quite some time.

It may be the reason we say we’re having a “heart to heart” with someone when we’re engaged in an intimate, sincere conversation.

Researchers have reported that hearts between lovers sync even when the lovers aren’t touching or conversing. The same goes for heart frequencies of unborn babies and their mothers.

So when Jim Rohn said, “You’re the average of the 5 people you spend the most time with,” he made an interesting point indeed. Our bodies are talking. And physiologically, it’s gratitude whose message is the loudest. We’re affecting each other in ways we may have never even pondered.

Choose your company wisely, but find comfort in the idea that gratitude has a way of trumping all. Keep gratitude flowing in your own heart, and you can change the world around you without lifting a finger.

Why the First World War Happened?

How Can We Successfully Repeat It?

Yes — Repeat it.

Because if we repeat that kind of war — we’ll be safe from a far more complete catastrophe.

To repeat that kind of war, no matter how painful it was, it will still be a rather limited war compared with what level of destruction we are capable of wielding today.

The First World War was really a minimalist war… when een through that lens.

A small war indeed.

Small when compared to a Nuclear Holocaust.

Small in Existential terms, when compared with the War to come.

Small in relation to a Nuclear Conflict that we are gearing up to see in the Pacific in the years ahead… that will bring a nuclear winter to the whole world.

China is preparing. The US is preparing. Russia is preparing. Even old oafish Europe is gearing up…

So why don’t You know anything about it?

The rise of China is going to be checked by someone and that is not going to be pretty…

When you see Nuclear ICBMs flying towards your city — you’ll understand the wisdom of my words.

But for now — let’s just say that World War I was a fight in the sandlot and a knifing in the mud when compared to a Nuclear War that is certainly going to be the conflict between the US and it’s Pacific allies in the near future.

Tricky thing about the Future is that it’s like a rain storm — You never know exactly when it’s gonna come. But like war — you can smell it clearly in the air, when it’s near to blow upon your head.

And that’ why we’ve got umbrellas.

But we ain’t got umbrellas strong enough to stop these pesky nuclear warheads from ruining our party.

Nor can we stop radiation from frying up our ultra hydrated skin…

So be that as it may — when am coming back from China, am always eager to share my wisdom with You.

But this time it has become painfully evident that we are sleepwalking towards another major conflict, and a nuclear one at that, today — in the Sino-AngloAmericanEuropean competition for supremacy.

And I care about this subject especially today — because it is today that marks the One Hundred Year Anniversary since World War One.

100 year since the most beautiful, privileged, and best looking youth, of Europe born in an era of unprecedented Prosperity, Certainty, Privilege of an eternal Peace — crashed and burned.

It was this youth that was destined to fight the “Great Peace” conflict. The war to end all wars. The Peace War…

Europe’s youth withered and died away in the bloody gray mud of the trenches in 1914 slithering in their belly, and getting blown to bits, or bayoneted through, all in vain as we marched under the drums of war all together towards the end of 1918.

Do you know that the average life span of a junior British Officer in the Western Front of the trench warfare was six weeks?

Six Weeks.

And what about the Treasure?

We spend up to 19 Trillion Dollars in Destruction, with just as much in economic loses, back in the four years, in order to prosecute those wars. In today’s Dollars that was the costliest conflict in History.

Was the money spent at least chalked up to education?

Maybe…

But what did we learn?

And are we nearer to an understanding of what happened, today?

Maybe we are wiser, smarter, and better equipped on how to avoid the Repetition of the bloodiest sport known to man…?

Or maybe we are just better able to Go Ahead and Repeat it, giving vent to the baddest Angels of our Heart.

Here are some writings that provide a bit of the back story of the Great War, as seen through the lens of some of the best writers and historians of our Lifetime.

Maybe we can better understand today, that we know very little about the real causes of this Conflict and that we understand even less.

At least that was my experience — reading through these studied texts written upon the sum total of the subject of leading and reasoning the First World War from the standpoint of the Leaders.

These are book and studies collected from seven great books, and the definitive History Compendium and are reviewed here for your betterment, for your education, and maybe for your edification.

And if you don’t mind me saying — they are all coming from the accumulated wisdom of the Foreign Affairs Council…

The 7 Books:

1) The War That Didn’t End All Wars:
What Started in 1914 — and Why It Lasted So Long
By Lawrence D. Freedman

2) The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went to War in 1914. BY CHRISTOPHER CLARK. Harper, 2013

3) Catastrophe 1914: Europe Goes to War. BY MAX HASTINGS. Knopf, 2013

4) The War That Ended Peace: The Road to 1914. BY MARGARET MACMILLAN. Random House, 2013

5) July 1914: Countdown to War. BY SEAN MCMEEKIN. Basic Books, 2013

6) The Great War for Peace. BY WILLIAM MULLIGAN. Yale University Press, 2014

7) July Crisis: The World’s Descent Into War, Summer 1914. BY THOMAS OTTE. Cambridge University Press, 2014

And the most important WWI treasure trove is this One History Compendium in the definitive edition:

The Cambridge History of the First World War. Vol. 1, Global War. EDITED BY JAY WINTER. Cambridge University Press, 2014

So here are the condensed Book Reviews and assorted Resources:

One response to the catastrophe of World War One, was the systematic study of international affairs. Scholars in the 1920s and 1930s hoped that by analyzing the causes of war, they could help find a cure for it. This effort failed, in that a second world war followed the first, and so students of international relations veered away from idealistic schemes of global cooperation toward a tough-minded realism.

World War II taught us that a demonic dictator should not be appeased, a lesson now invoked every time some regional autocrat attempts a land grab as Putin did today in Ukraine’ Crimea and Donbass region — or even when officials propose negotiations with a disagreeable regime.

Meanwhile, and although we understand this, there is still nowhere near a consensus on the origins of World War I.

Nor is there any agreement on what we learned or even whether any useful lessons at all can be drawn from the conflict that can be useful for the present day. Except maybe the fact that war at this scale is painful to the extreme for the whole world and is a catalyst of Change that is not always positive.

And that the War is not necessary to effect Change because this Change we could have had in Peace time and in relatively bloodless processes as well

That conclusion remains the case even after the publication of a slew of new accounts of the drama by skilled historians, which add to an already vast literature.

And despite their grave differences, the books under review here all help readers navigate the intricacies of European politics and the maneuverings within national capitals that kicked off the war. Christopher Clark and Margaret MacMillan go back into the previous century. Max Hastings covers the whole year of 1914 and provides a vivid account of the first months of the fighting. Sean McMeekin looks at the single month leading up to the war, as does Thomas Otte. It would be a shame if those suffering from 1914 fatigue neglected Otte’s late entry into the field, because it is especially forensic and diligent.

The books have little new to say about the actual sequence of events, which started with Ferdinand’s assassination in June, followed by the ultimatum that Austria-Hungary delivered to Serbia in July demanding a crackdown on nationalist groups, the Russian and then German mobilizations thereafter, and the start of fighting in early August. The books do shed light, however, on the interesting question of what those involved actually thought they were doing as what could have been a manageable crisis turned into all-out war. Were they being opportunistic, taking the chance to implement premeditated plans? Or were they just caught up in the swirl of events, trapped by their fears and prejudices and stuck with past commitments?

WHO CAUSED IT?

The blame game began as soon as the war turned into a painful stalemate, and it intensified after the signing of the Treaty of Versailles in 1919. The belligerents published large compilations of correspondence to show how their peaceful intentions had been thwarted by mendacious enemies, in what the German military historian Bernhard Schwertfeger called a “world war of documents.” Over time, scholars grew more willing to spread the blame around, attributing the conflict to broader factors, such as militarized mindsets, outdated diplomatic practices, and the organization of the international system. In the 1960s, however, the German historian Fritz Fischer revived the question of guilt, claiming that his country was responsible because it had embarked on a premeditated war of aggression. Fischer’s student Volker Berghahn has now written a firm restatement of Fischer’s thesis, which can be found in The Cambridge History of the First World War, a comprehensive collection of essays on all aspects of the conflict.

Clark rejects such “prosecutorial narratives” of the conflict’s origins, which he criticizes for assuming coherent intentions. He prefers to focus less on “the political temperament and initiatives of one particular state” and more on “the multilateral processes of interaction.” In practice, however, even Clark makes his own distinctive indictment. By starting his account in Belgrade, he correctly highlights the importance of the Serbian nationalist campaign that led to Ferdinand’s assassination, which not only triggered the crisis but also removed the one Austrian who, aware of his country’s weakness, could have exercised a moderating influence on its course. McMeekin draws attention to the culpability of Russia, with its premature mobilization. Hastings is much more inclined to blame Germany and the determination of its military leaders to fight a war while they still had a chance of victory and before Russia became too strong. MacMillan and Otte fault Austria-Hungary (the party that actually set the war in motion by issuing an ultimatum it knew would not be met), Germany, and Russia, in that order, although MacMillan admits how difficult it is to settle on a single cause or guilty party.

None of these authors shows much interest in what theorists of international relations have said about World War I. Otte engages with them the most, but only to explain his distrust in structural explanations. Readers of these books will find little about whether the international system is more likely to reach a peaceful equilibrium through bipolarity or multipolarity, the comparative merits of balancing versus backing a revisionist power, or how to escape from the self-defeating logic of a security dilemma. The absence of theory is not surprising: historians tend to look askance at attempts to formulate reliable laws of political behavior and are naturally more inclined to give weight to contingency and chance.

In an early passage that somewhat belies his book’s title (The Sleepwalkers), Clark writes that the story is “saturated with agency.” The key decision-makers “walked towards danger in watchful, calculated steps”; they were “political actors with conscious objectives, who were capable of a degree of self-reflection, acknowledged a range of options and formed the best judgements they could on the basis of the best information they had to hand.” MacMillan deplores those who said in 1914 that there was no choice other than war, and she ends her book with the sentence, “There are always choices.”

All the authors insist that not only was war far from inevitable but it also came about as the result of some spectacularly bad decision-making. Otte calls it a “failure of statecraft.” The overall impression one gets from these histories is that had the players been a bit less weak-willed, vain, incompetent, myopic, delusional, and stupid, the world could have been spared years of misery.

The other strong message is that even accounting for bad judgment and bad luck, the rulers of Europe had no idea what war would actually mean in practice. MacMillan describes their “failure of imagination in not seeing how destructive such a conflict would be.” Clark calls them “sleepwalkers” because they were “watchful but unseeing, haunted by dreams, yet blind to the reality of the horror they were about to bring into the world.” But Hastings takes exception to the sleepwalking label, since it suggests that the decision-makers were unconscious of their own actions. He prefers to call them “deniers,” because they persisted with “supremely dangerous policies and strategies rather than accept the consequences of admitting the prospective implausibility, and retrospective failure, of these.”

THE BIGGER PICTURE

The problem with a focus on individuals’ decisions, however, is that it neglects the importance of context. Among these authors, MacMillan does the most to describe broader factors and prevailing attitudes, whereas Otte is keenest to downplay “impersonal, structural forces.” But these governments were not improvising. They were working with well-developed alliance obligations, war plans, and conventions of crisis management. They were reacting, moreover, to the newfound weakness of the old order, which was staggering under the weight of shifts in power, assertive nationalist movements, and domestic upheavals. In other words, structural factors clearly constrained leaders’ decisions. After all, international relations theorists keep returning to the period leading up to 1914 in part because this was a time when states corresponded most to the requirements of theory, led as they were by detached elites who thought in realist terms, dominated by considerations of security.

In the end, entrenched security policies proved impressively, if dangerously, resilient in July 1914. After many high-level wobbles — including the extraordinary “Dear Willy”/“Dear Nicky” correspondence between Tsar Nicholas II and Kaiser Wilhelm II, in which the third cousins tried to stave off war — the alliances largely stuck together, with only Italy holding back. The governments implemented their war plans. Likewise, the overt bellicosity of elite discourse in the preceding years, with preposterous claims about the purifying properties of battle and outlandish celebrations of race, strength, honor, and sacrifice, did much to prepare the public for war. Once countries faced the prospect of actual fighting, the bellicosity subsided and the mood in national capitals grew subdued. Governments started to worry less about glory than about being cast adrift by a reluctant ally or left vulnerable by mobilizing too slowly. Thus, the conflict was not the result of crude warmongering. Rather, it arose from a complex interaction among systemic factors with which any collection of decision-makers would have had to contend, the qualities and idiosyncrasies of this particular collection of leaders, and chance factors.

At the heart of the July crisis lay the meaning of alliances. Nicholas declared Slavic solidarity with the Serbs, and the French stood by their Russian allies. As Clark notes, “Russia and France thereby tied the fortunes of two of the world’s greatest powers in highly asymmetrical fashion to the uncertain destiny of a turbulent and intermittently violent state.” In the same way, Germany tied itself to the dysfunction of Austria-Hungary when Wilhelm told officials from the ailing empire that they could respond to Ferdinand’s assassination as they pleased, a blank check that emboldened them to take on Serbia. Otte recalls Bismarck’s adage that every alliance involves a horse and a rider and observes that in this instance the horse was in the saddle. This phenomenon is hardly unusual. Today, for example, the United States’ weaker allies regularly demand assurances from Washington, even when they are engaging in reckless behavior, and Washington often grants such assurances for fear that failing to do so would damage its credibility.

The challenge for great powers has always been how to provide enough comfort to weaker allies to make them feel secure while maintaining enough leverage over them to ensure they do not provoke a war. In July 1914, there was no guarantee that Europe’s alliances would hold together, given how incongruent the interests between the great powers and their weaker partners appeared. Russia carefully watched France, which needed convincing that the situation was worth a war. France, in turn, looked fretfully at the United Kingdom, which was not sure it wanted to support the tsar after having laid the foundations for improved relations with Germany. Within both the Entente and the Central Powers, the sense that the alliances might unravel generated distrust and uncertainty — one reason so much energy went into shoring them up rather than peacefully settling the disputes at hand.

Historians often blame another factor for the outbreak of World War I: the cult of the offensive. In this view, prevalent at the time, wars were best won by taking the initiative as quickly as possible and getting troops to push through defensive barriers by relying on morale and élan. Because early action might just produce a victory and delay would surely spell doom, in other words, the fighting could never come too soon. This conviction explains why mobilization mattered so much, especially to the generals, who imposed their sense of urgency on their civilian leaders. On account of its vast size and cumbersome infrastructure, Russia mobilized first. McMeekin quotes Nicholas lamenting, tellingly, that his decision to do so potentially involved “sending thousands of men to their deaths.” Nicholas could not grasp the true stakes; Russia ultimately lost some two million soldiers.

Elites across Europe expected that even a highly costly war would prove quick and decisive. After a few cataclysmic battles, the thinking went, the conflict would end and the continent could adjust to its new political realities. What is striking is how little strategic discussion actually took place. Decision-makers neither scrutinized the practicality of their war plans nor related them to political objectives. In Berlin, only in passing did planners question the wisdom of charging toward France through Belgium, even though that course, by triggering London’s treaty obligations to Brussels, guaranteed British participation in the war.

THE LONG WAR

Those who make the sleepwalking critique presume that although the outbreak of World War I was not inevitable, its prolonged and catastrophic character was. MacMillan shows how militaries airily dismissed warnings from such figures as the Russian industrialist and scholar Ivan Bloch, who cautioned that strong defenses would result in a drawn-out war. Hastings convincingly characterizes the grand German offensive as fundamentally flawed, despite the meticulous planning that went into it. (The strategy depended on moving the army far and fast enough to deliver a knockout blow to France before Russia’s military strength could make itself felt, but the plan put far too many demands on German logistics and inexperienced reservists.) McMeekin goes too far in saying that the Germans expected to lose, but they certainly knew that the invasion was a gamble. They simply worried that the longer they waited, the more of a gamble it would become.

Yet Berlin’s bet almost paid off. Although Belgium’s unexpected resistance held up the German advance, the Kaiser’s forces pushed the French far into retreat, until the momentum was reversed in the First Battle of the Marne, which began on September 5, 1914. The battle marked the end of any German hopes for a swift conclusion. The failure of the Allies to follow up the victory led to the stalemate that became the defining feature of the western front. The week before, Russia’s pretensions to having rebuilt itself into a serious military power were dashed at the disastrous Battle of Tannenberg. Both sides experienced moments of desperation before the trenches were dug and the long stalemate began. As governments cast around to see if they could achieve a decisive victory, questions about the durability of alliances cropped up once again. Would their partners persist in battle or succumb to the lure of a separate peace? In the end, the belligerents never found the various proposals for negotiation sufficiently attractive, even when compared with the costs of continuing with war. Leaders could never overrule the objections of the hard-liners who believed that only complete victory could justify the pain already experienced.

Once the fighting began, as so often happens, the stakes moved up a notch and turned existential. And as leaders played more to idealistic urges than geopolitical fears, their goals got more ambitious. In a phrase that later became derided for its pretension and innocence, the English novelist and futurist H. G. Wells wrote in August 1914 of “the war that will end war.” Having long urged world government as the only alternative to destructive wars, he now thought that once Germany, a “nest of evil ideas,” was defeated, good sense would reign. Although the optimism was misplaced, the sentiment was real. As William Mulligan demonstrates in an original study of the ideological impulses at the time, even as they prosecuted a war of cruel viciousness, European governments pondered the peace that might follow.

After the war, its participants promised to pursue that peace. They pledged to disarm, and they called for a new international organization that would provide “guarantees of political independence and territorial integrity to great and small states alike” (to quote the last of U.S. President Woodrow Wilson’s Fourteen Points). The international community adopted these ideas with surprising speed in the 1920s, culminating in the 1925 Pact of Locarno, which formalized Europe’s new borders. Three years later, the Kellogg-Briand Pact, the brainchild of the U.S. secretary of state and the French foreign minister, renounced war as an instrument of policy.

Given what followed, realists mock the interwar period for its naiveté. Scholars are inclined to dismiss the push for peace that came after 1918, just as they deplore the tug toward war that preceded 1914. Mulligan urges readers not to assume that the peace project was doomed just because of what happened during the 1930s, or even that the core themes underlying this effort died on the battlefields of World War II. They returned after the war, albeit with a more cautious gloss, with the politicians who had first heard them in the 1920s, such as West German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer and the French diplomat Jean Monnet. In this respect, the outbreak of World War I was not the seminal catastrophe of the century. Catastrophe was fed by later decisions: namely, both sides’ insistence on continuing the war and their refusal to look for diplomatic ways out, as well as the victors’ imposition of a harsh settlement on Germany and then appeasement of Adolf Hitler.

In the end, the lesson of 1914 is that there are no sure lessons. War has no reliable solutions, because contexts change. What resolves conflicts in one setting will provide cover for aggression in another; actions that deter aggression under some circumstances will at other times provoke it. Yet there are always choices, and the best advice for governments to emerge from the story of 1914 is to make them carefully: be clear about core interests, get the best possible information, explore opportunities for a peaceful settlement, and treat military plans with skepticism.

Another long delayed aftermath of the GREAT WAR came almost 80 years later, and it was the mosaic War taking place within the former Yugoslavia. This time Serbia again was being the Bully of the Balkans…
In late June 1991 Yugoslav army tanks rolled into the newly declared Republic of Slovenia, igniting a war long feared among the peoples of Yugoslavia. More than a year later, the war had resulted in some 350,000 deaths (mostly civilians), more than two million homeless and as much as $560 Billion in loses and destruction.

And there is good reason to remember these event as this year marks the hundredth anniversary of a transformative event of modern history. World War I killed some 20 – 30 million people and ground up a generation of Europe’s youth. It also fundamentally changed the international order in Europe and beyond.

Indeed, WWI destroyed not only lives, but also seven empires in total. Three empires in Europe – those of Germany, Austria-Hungary, and Russia – and, with the collapse of Ottoman rule, a fourth on its fringe. And of course three more – depending how you count them – in the Far East.

Up until the Great War, the global balance of power was centered in Europe; after it, the United States and Japan emerged as great powers. The war also ushered in the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917, prepared the way for fascism, and intensified and broadened the ideological battles that wracked the twentieth century.

How could such a catastrophe happen? Shortly after the war broke out, when German Chancellor Theobald von Bethmann-Hollweg was asked to explain what happened, he answered, “Oh, if I only knew!” Perhaps in the interest of self-exoneration, he came to regard the war as inevitable. Similarly, the British Foreign Minister, Sir Edward Grey, argued that he had “come to think that no human individual could have prevented it.”

The question we face today is whether it could happen again. Margaret MacMillan, author of the interesting new book The War that Ended Peace, argues that, “it is tempting – and sobering – to compare today’s relationship between China and the US with that between Germany and Britain a century ago.” After drawing a similar comparison, The Economist concludes that “the most troubling similarity between 1914 and now is complacency.” And some political scientists, such as John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago, have argued that, “to put it bluntly: China cannot rise peacefully.”

But historical analogies, though sometimes useful for precautionary purposes, become dangerous when they convey a sense of historical inevitability. WWI was not inevitable. It was made more probable by Germany’s rising power and the fear that this created in Great Britain. But it was also made more probable by Germany’s fearful response to Russia’s rising power, as well as myriad other factors, including human errors. But the gap in overall power between the US and China today is greater than that between Germany and Britain in 1914.

Drawing contemporary lessons from 1914 requires dispelling the many myths have been created about WWI. For example, the claim that it was a deliberate preventive war by Germany is belied by the evidence showing that key elites did not believe this. Nor was WWI a purely accidental war, as others maintain: Austria went to war deliberately, to fend off the threat of rising Slavic nationalism. There were miscalculations over the war’s length and depth, but that is not the same as an accidental war.

It is also said that the war was caused by an uncontrolled arms race in Europe. But the naval arms race was over by 1912, and Britain had won. While there was concern in Europe about the growing strength of armies, the view that the war was precipitated directly by the arms race is facile.

Today’s world is different from the world of 1914 in several important ways. One is that nuclear weapons give political leaders the equivalent of a crystal ball that shows what their world would look like after escalation. Perhaps if the Emperor, the Kaiser, and the Czar had had a crystal ball showing their empires destroyed and their thrones lost in 1918, they would have been more prudent in 1914. Certainly, the crystal-ball effect had a strong influence on US and Soviet leaders during the Cuban missile crisis. It would likely have a similar influence on US and Chinese leaders today.

Another difference is that the ideology of war is much weaker nowadays. In 1914, war really was thought to be inevitable, a fatalistic view reinforced by the Social Darwinist argument that war should be welcomed, because it would “clear the air” like a good summer storm.

As Winston Churchill wrote in his book The World Crisis:

“There was a strange temper in the air. Unsatisfied by material prosperity, the nations turned fiercely toward strife, internal or external.
National passions, unduly exalted in the decline of religion, burned beneath the surface of nearly every land with fierce, if shrouded, fires.
Almost one might think the world wished to suffer. Certainly men were everywhere eager to dare.”

To be sure, nationalism is growing in China today, while the US launched two wars after the September 11, 2001, attacks. But neither country is bellicose or complacent about a limited war. China aspires to play a larger role in its region, and the US has regional allies to whose defense it is committed. Miscalculations are always possible, but the risk can be minimized by the right policy choices. Indeed, on many issues – for example, energy, climate change, and financial stability – China and the US have strong incentives to cooperate.

Moreover, whereas Germany in 1914 was pressing hard on Britain’s heels (and had surpassed it in terms of industrial strength), the US remains decades ahead of China in overall military, economic, and soft-power resources. Too adventuresome a policy would jeopardize China’s gains at home and abroad.

In other words, the US has more time to manage its relations with a rising power than Britain did a century ago. Too much fear though, can be self-fulfilling.

Whether the US and China will manage their relationship well or slide off the scales, towards a vicious conflict of the Warring States variety, is an entirely different question.

But one thing is certain: Whatever they will choose to do, will be dictated by human choice alone, and not by some ironclad fatalistic historical law of Inevitability…

Yours,

Pano

PS:

Among the lessons to be learned from the events presaging 1914, is to be wary of analysts wielding historical analogies, particularly if they have an air of inevitability.

But here is the standard lessons that we draw from the First World War. It’s not many but it’s the best we’ve got.

War is never inevitable, though the belief that it is — can become one of its main causes.

What the Leaders believe matters far more than History’s Days leading up to a Conflict.

The Leaders and not the People make the Gravest Mistakes that end up sending All the Young People to mass graves.

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Posted by: Dr Pano Kroko | December 1, 2014

A Moment of Happiness leads to Eternity

As we are traveling through Life it’s good to remember a simple rule that I’ve heard from an old sage in China’s Yunnan province.

This wizened and wise old man lives as a peripatetic hermit relying on all the people he meets for all of his daily needs.

And in return he provides guidance, wisdom, reverence, meditation learnings, blessings, and profound wisdom.

He walks barefoot and in that he reminds me of Socrates.

And when we met in this last travel through China, he cautioned me to not Think Too Much…

He said: Please rest your mind because too much thinking makes one unhappy…

The mind is like the monkey and it always leads us to worry and fearful entanglement.

So best stop listening to your monkey mind until you need it to perform your work. This will quiet down your Life and make you a Happy Person.

When your mind is subdued and quiet, chances are you’ll be happy living in the moment. When your mind works to a good end — then it is performing a useful task as is designed to do, and the rest of the time You can focus on what makes your Soul happy.

And that stuck with me.

Because if we are present in our time & space and if we strive to make this present moment happy, for us and all those around us — even the grouchy adversaries, and the mindless menacing fools — then we have won eternity.

Eternity is but a series of moments, and is our choice what colour we’ll give to it. Happy or Not?

Be present then in your moment as a Happy person, smile and carry on, because this action alone will increase the chances of the next moment also being happy.

And on and on and on…

Yours,
Pano

PS:
Thanks to Old Man Xian for his wise counsel.

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Posted by: Dr Pano Kroko | November 30, 2014

Love is where we come from — And love is where we are going

Love is where we come from — and love is where we are going.

Believe this because there are benefits…

When we live in love, we enjoy our Life fully, while not being afraid to move on…

Death is just a change of Scenery…

With love we have built a bridge between worlds.

Living in the here and now and belonging to Eternity.

No Heaven and Hell — Just Love all the way to the stars.

Yours,

Pano

PS:

Or in other words as Paul of Tarsus says: “Love does not come to an end” and “Love never fails”

In his book “The Future of life” Wilson speaks reality and sense. He simply and eloquently states that:
“Unless we make pretty rapid changes towards a clean energy economy, away from fossil fuels over the next 20 years, we risk much of the progress we’ve made since 1800.”

“The juggernaut of fossil fuel economy based market & consumption capitalism will not be stopped. It’s momentum is reinforced by the billions of poor people in developing countries anxious to participate in order to share the material wealth of the industrialized nations. But its direction can be changed by mandate of a generally shared long-term environmental ethic. The choice is clear: the juggernaut will very soon either chew up what remains of the living world, or it will be redirected to save it.”
– E.O. Wilson

Couldn’t have said it better myself. The earth’s environmental health and consequential “Human Survival” is not a separate issue from our development, nor it is delinked from human progress. The Earth is the place on which all development and human progress, as well as all Economic activity has ever taken place.

So how can we expect to continue having Growth and Prosperous Economic activity in a diminished Earth?

Let alone that — how can we expect to survive as Humans in the diminished Ecosystem?

In short: How do we expect to breathe the Air if we turn the atmosphere into a Gas Chamber?

As the noted biologist E.O. Wilson says, “The planet is a little sphere with a razor-thin coat of life too fragile to bear careless tampering.”

And I agree with Wilson wholeheartedly especially when I see the climate refugees in Africa leaving their homes and communal villages behind, engulfed in a fiery chaos in the most beautiful region that once was called the Horn of Plenty — and is now the Horn of Death. The Horn of Nothing. The Horn of constant war and conflict due to failing crops and famine. Agriculture in the Horn is just as surely finished as in the Death Valley, in the Sahara desert, or in the Arabian sands… The scorched earth cannot grow anything to feed people or cattle.

Take the Horn of Africa region, once the cradle of humanity’s development when it exited the lush river valleys of Congo some 130,000 years ago upright and proud with a large brain and a growing appettite to roam the world. This protein rich savannah gave us the skills to hunt upright and run with hunting tools in cooperation with other tribal hunters to bring down big game. This is the place where the need of women to carry handbags made from animal skin first eveolved… This land was our Roots. The place where our evolutionary selves came to become Modern Humans. The Horn of Africa was the Evolutionary Development playground, ancient lunchroom, and launch pad for our ancestros to colonize the world. This was our school, college, university, and stomping ground to grow up to be who we are today. And yet today this historical “Horn of plenty” in Africa — has become the horn of climate chaos. The Horn of Africa, once the richest, lushest, and most abundant food resources place on Earth, with Life teeming everywhere, so much so that people called it Eden on Earth, is now a dustbowl. This Horn Of Africa that the Great Hunters called it the meat locker of the world, this vast savannah, has now become the Horn of climate refugees and duststorms. The lines of unsteady impoverished people, leaving the place of destroyed farming, tell us the new story today and presage the future for many of us as the Climate is warming up fast everywhere. The Horn of Africa can no longer sustain Life as we know it. It has now become the Horn of unsustainable and collapsed human communities. In short the Horn of Death.

And this is a harbinger of things to come to all for us because there is one thing that I learned by working with these refugees: There is No Warning that the Earth is failing us…

And as we see the same situation unfolding in Texas, in Southern California, in Nevada, and all over the Southwest part of the United States; same as in the Loess Plateau the ancestral home of the Han Chinese people and in all of Northeast belt of all of China, and even in Russia’s vast territories, and in Southern Mediterranean countries — we should start paying attention. We ought to take care to read the writing on the wall. We maybe need to wake up, and change, because we shall not get another warning, before we all become Climate Refugees.

And with sea levels rising, where do you think that we should all go to live? If we have to abandon our comfortable habitats, where is it that we should migrate to?

But I must ask the Big Questions here:
Who do You think is responsible for this?
And I continue asking:
Is this what we want our collective future to look like?
And last:
Is this something that we can avoid?

Think of these questions while we traverse the science gap and bridge the wisdom chasm.

Our planet has a very finite chemical balance that keeps us alive.
It takes a very harmonious balance of gases and chemistry of atmosphere, ocean and earth, to keep us alive. We are living in an incubator for the human and all other supporting species. A space traveling incubator of immense proportions for us but a speck of dust in the Galaxy that is our spacefaring bubble streaming forth for the Universe.

And at the Environmental Parliament we’ve come to unofficially call this incubator that gives us LIFE ON THIS EARTH — the “Goldilocks balance”. Goldilocks because it’s not too hot, not too cold, but just right. Not too much CO2, not too much Oxygen, not too much methane, not too much nitrogen, but just right.

A right balance of gases is what makes Life possible on this Earth and this fine and tricky to accomplish Balance, constitutes our Incubator. Our space traveling incubator. Our incubator as a speck of dust. The human life incubator on rock hurling through space is all we’ve got. And we inhabit this Incubator fully able to breath because of the right balance of gases. Mainly CO2 and Oxygen. Our chemical gas balance is all we’ve got.

Got that?

So why do we go about destroying and altering this fine balance?

In Cybernetics Systems Analysis we call this Fine Balance a “Dynamic Equilibrium”. But between You and me, let’s just call it “The Goldilocks Home”
And although much like Goldilocks, is just right for us — we are screwing it all up. We are destroying the Incubator by altering the balance of gases and tipping the incubator holding us safe. We are moving the gas balance towards a rapidly polluted CO2 super-gasified atmosphere, causing General Chaos and Death for all of us.

And remember that every atom of Oxygen lost is displaced with two atoms of CO2. Every Oxygen molecule that is lost, gets displaced with two Carbon Dioxide molecules. Not Fair eh?
Yet we keep removing Oxygen from the atmosphere due to the Fossil Fuel burning for our energy, transportation, and industrial needs, due to massive forest fires and the general deforestation due to harvesting the Brazilian and Indonesian Rainforests, and our genberal propensity to remove the green living skin of our planet, due to generalized stupidity, like the replacement of the most beautiful forested ecosystem in Canada with a lunar landscape of Tar Sands development. And although one would think that we know better and we have plenty of Science to tell us all that, and warn us of the incoming catastrophe for the future of Life on Earth — we are not Changing our ways. We are not listening and instead we go on building up more CO2 in the atmosphere, by developing more oil fields, more gas fields, more Tar Sands, more pipelines, more underwater oil exploration in the Arctic and even more CO2 rapidly altering the Goldilocks balance in our atmosphere.

But we know that we need to keep the Incubator safe for our progeny and for ourselves. We are not ready yet to leave this Earth behind… And we need to maintain the balance just right to allow us to survive here. And our Technology can help us keep it thus.

Yet even E.O. Wilson himself a biologist, and a bit of a Luddite — sees technology, science, and human progress as part of the solution to a sustainable future, not as part of the problem. He says in The Future of Life (2002), “Science and technology also promise the means for raising per-capita food production while decreasing materials and energy consumption, both of which are preconditions for successful long-term conservation and a sustainable economy.”

Perhaps, then, it is the discovery of petroleum in 1859 in Edward Drake’s steam engine well in Pennsylvania that has in part led to humanity having such high-standards of living today–standards of living that for once allow us to afford to invest in creating a carbon neutral world by 2040 that is prosperous for all of us, unlike the low carbon and low living-standard world of 1840 that was brutish, difficult, and short, with low literacy rates, lack of sanitation, no electricity or sewage removal, and high infant mortality. Historically, fossil fuels have been a great thing for humanity. Now that we know that the continued use of fossil fuels will threaten the progress they have so far enabled, we must use our wealth and scientific energy to move toward clean energy as quickly as possible.

Moving to a Clean Energy Economy is like jumping to the next lily pad for us little jumpy “frogs.” And moving around the lily pads for kissing princes and cavorting princesses alike — is the next big thing. Just as in the fairytale, so in Real Life, we need to keep on moving to a new Equilibrium of Energy production from Clean Resources and Sustainable means. And our production of Energy will also become distributed and in that way will help us all generate and consume whatever we need without burdening the atmosphere for the rest of the humans, other species, and the Earth.

And we’ve got to do this by Yesterday, because it is Essential For Our Very Own Existence and not just for Continued Human Progress as many soft politicos will tell you. Nope… My friends, this is a matter of Life and Death.

Simple eh?

And while humanity has made immense progress in technology, in science, in health, in education, in business, in growth through economic measures — we are still burning things to keep ourselves warm and run our lives. Just like our cave dwelling ancestors did a few millennia back…

But today we don’t need to keep fires burning to warn off the saber tooth tigers. They have all gone extinct and our kitty cats are unlikely to attack us in our sleep. Except one of my cats, that I used to call Diablo because she used to jump on my face to wake me up in the middle of the night… saving from many nightmares, yet sometimes from sweet dreams too.

So we don’t need to keep burning up things anymore. Because we’ve got science and technology that allows us to get great energy cheaply without having to burn up things to make our “fire” And yet we are failing in moving our thinking to the intelligent realm of understanding our predicament. Understanding the only by moving away from using fossil fuels as the “fire” that keeps us humming and that produces immense amounts of carbon dioxide [CO2] and other greenhouse gases that are steadily increasing the surface temperature of the Earth and are causing Climate Chaos, and the melting of all the ice shelfs and glaciers that in turn bring about catastrophic sea level rises — we might save ourselves.

Simple eh?

And our neighboring species mammals and others are already feeling the Climate Change induced stresses in their lives, by going extinct. You know that there is no remediation situation once a species goes extinct. Forget Spielberg and his T-Rex island. The loss of species is irrevocable. It is rather Final. Terminal and a friendly reminder of our own end of the journey. As an example most biologists agree that we are going through a period of despeciation. A grand period we come to call the Anthropocene in Earth terms that causes all other species to disappear. In the two centuries of industrial use of fossil fuels we’ve gradually caused the loss of almost fifty percent of the species existent on earth and today we are losing about 75,000 species [from those we know] of Life of this planet. It is the greatest Despeciation period since the last great culling at the end of the Paleozoic period.

More specifically, on the topic of biodiversity, from big mammalian species, the World Wildlife Fund has been tracking the populations of 2,688 species of animals since 1970. Their Living Planet Index shows a 28% decline in the populations of these species from 1970 to 2008. Take this in and let it sink: 28% loss of all big cats, elephants, rhinos, and all these beautiful creatures we’ve come to share this planet with in the short space of 38 years.

Do You know what’s next? Can you imagine whose death toll we will soon start tracking? Do you care to know for whom the bells are going to start ringing next?

I think we are online to follow the big mammalian species into the threshold of extinction if we follow this path we are on today.

The science is simple.
Increased CO2 traps heat in the atmosphere and increased heat in the atmosphere raises the planet’s surface temperature thus destroying rainforests, causing forest fires everywhere, destroying arable land, turning crop lands into dustbowls, warming and acidifying the oceans, disrupting weather patterns, advancing desertification, melting the glaciers, and rapidly raising sea levels.

You’ve seen countless charts showing the correlation between increasing CO2 parts per million volume [ppmv] and increasing surface temperatures and you understand the need for limiting and managing our CO2 emissions. Reducing carbon emissions is key.

But you don’t want to do it yourself… because maybe you don’t believe the data. After all CO2 is unheard, unseen, and you can’t even smell it.

Yet the science linking higher planetary Temperatures and human CO2 emission increases is unassailable.
We passed 400 ppmv per million volume of CO2 [carbon dioxide] in the atmosphere in a May 2013 measurement at the Mauna Loa Observatory of Hawaii and we are now moving rapidly towards 450ppmv as the set mark to hold. Yet the earth is warming far more than the target of 2 C and we are looking at the runaway threshold of 4 degrees Celsius, and beyond with the 450ppmv… and that is clearly unsustainable.

And although the supposed threshold safe level is 350 PPM we didn’t stop to check what would happen because we simply can’t get off the Fossil Fuel train for many years to come. Worse yet, is that even if we stopped all of our emissions today the feedback loop will continue warming up the Earth and the Atmosphere. It’s also abundantly clear that if we go above 450 PPM we will see major disruptions to the global climate that will trigger systemic effects that accelerate carbon dioxide and methane in the atmosphere and thus will rapidly warm the world far faster than previously thought possible. System effects like the release of the most potent greenhouse gas “methane” released from the melting of the Siberian, the Greenland, and Arctic Circle permafrost, the burning of all temperate forests, or the desertification of the Brazilian rainforests. All of this process has already started and the question now is: Can we Stop It?

Therefore the goal should not be to stay under 450 ppmv of CO2. The goal should be to return to 350 ppmv as quickly as possible. To do this, we must reduce our annual carbon output from 37 gigatons to under 5 gigatons over the next two decades. And that is a huge deal to accomplish. We need a worldwide agreement to get there and not just regional of intrastate agreements. A cap on CO2 is needed and that we shall get only from a Global Treaty. A treaty similar to the one that limits nuclear weapons. Imperfect but effective in reducing the threat of nuclear war. Imperfect is better than Nothing in the issue of Climate Change too.

So let us start limiting CO2 emissions through a Global Deal similar to the one crafted by President Xi and President Obama and signed in Beijing in my presence a week ago…
And to get there we should stop developing Tar Sands and building long distance pipelines to carry that evil sludge that doesn’t make any economic sense either. Stop the stupidity of projects like KXL moosehead pipeline and we might survive. Built it and others like it and we will all perish.

Is that clear enough for You? In stark Black and White terms? Or do you need me to spell it further out?

There are zillions of corporate lobbyists, fossil fuel companies and other malevolent PR organizations that are attempting to spread doubt about the need to move away from a fossil fuel based economy. As an example there is a Lobby machine worth Billions spent each year to discredit science and maintain the Status Quo. And there are some majorities in Congress and Senate of the US house of Representatives that are in their positions simply because they kowtow to the Oilers and their blood-dirty money.

That has got to change…

Still with all that in place, we need to move away from fossil fuels as quickly as possible, by investing in renewable Energy growth companies. We need to invent Economic Instruments like the Green Bonds that I pioneered and the Green Banks that I co-founded, and we need to invest in economic institutions, and in enterprises making clean renewable energy.

We need to use entrepreneurial science in order to derive our Energy from synthetic algae, biofuels, wind, solar, geothermal, wave and tidal, and small clean fusion power.

And we need Public Policy in order to have a Global Emissions Control Agreement like the STAR Treaties. To get there we need to start a simple and fair carbon tax for CO2 emissions, and to invest in new carbon capture technologies like Bioenergy Carbon Capture & Storage (BECCS) and to swiftly pivot our Utilities to a Clean and Distributed Energy Economic Model.

And we need to do all this by Yesterday, because we simply have run out of time…

And if we manage to agree and follow through with this “tall order of things” and succeed to get the rest of Humanity onboard for a Moonshot of shared prosperity — well beyond the industrialized world — we just might survive. And then we might reverse the decline so that one day the Horn of Death in Africa, can be again called the Horn of Life, and the Horn of Abundance. Eden, the Garden of all that is Good. Eden, the Horn of Plenty, is within reach for those willing to change.

And we must hustle to develop our economies sustainably, cleanly, and equitably, in order to stop the wanton destruction of our habitats. This is not only the right thing to do, it’s in our own best interest, as many species of plant and animal life may prove essential to our survival, as symbiotic species often do. And also due to the value of the ecosystems habitat community since our co-dwellers, comprise this community and give us Life in the form of unknown plant based medical advancements, microorganisms that remediate the soil, and species of Life that complete the full, complex ecosystem of millions of species that provide the essential natural chemical services, in keeping our planet in balance.

As an example take the lowly plankton, and the minute amoeba, and the reef dwelling coral sea plants, that together with the shells of the smallest species of this earth — are responsible for the majority of the Oxygen we breath.

Their collective actions create the Oxygen that allows us to be alive today.

Yours,
Pano

PS:

And as we embark on this journey of Change — we are also creating a far more prosperous world without significant inequalities and with very little poverty, because our Energy Future as I imagine it, is simply Brilliant.

It is an Evolution of our old individual community fire held in the temple… Only now it is distributed fire. A fire in every home. We need Energy Generation in every home with rooftop Solar, so that each community will have a common small grid as it’s own resilient energy matrix, as each house and every business, will contribute to it. This Vision of mine is a personal Energy Revolution similar to the personal computer revolution of thirty years ago that ushered the Internet and later we co-founded the Wi-Fi to create the Global Brain that guides us today.

That sort of Energy Revolution is what am building today. An Internet of Energy for all of us…

AM sure some of You understand it and some can even see it. But for those of You who can’t visulaize it yet — let me tell you the god’s honest truth: A lot of people out there are afraid of the Future. You don’t have to be, when you are moving ahead and changing. Only then, will there be a Happy End.

Also I want to offer kudos to those who thought that we are Static and we seek a Steady Same Ecosystem and a Static Natural State of Being. Bless you all but You’ve got it wrong in a Big Way. Change is All and we see positive and beneficial change to uplift us all.
Technology adaptation through business development will take us all to the next level. And it’s good to remember that a rising tide lifts everybody’s boat — economically speaking.

But a fast rising sea level tide due to runaway Climate Change will be deadly for 90% of all human populations because we all live in great cities located in river valleys, low lying coastal areas, and in ports conveniently located in river deltas.
And from what we know the sea level rising due to rapidly melting glaciers can be very sudden and hugely catastrophic. Just imagine flash floods of Biblical Proportions…

So just take care of limiting the use of fossil fuels in order to reduce the CO2 in the atmosphere, so that the sea doesn’t rise too much and drown you….

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Being in China’s Tsinghua University and teaching Entrepreneurship for a week and Starting up great Innovative Tech Companies in the space of an intense long and sleepless weekend, has left me little time to ponder Geopolitics and Cybernetics.

But on the way home and after many discussions with Scholars and Politicos of whom there is no shortage at China’s premiere University — Tsinghua in Beijing — I’ve got an earful and experienced plenty on this supremely educational trip. And as usual I’d like to share the best fruits of our all too human knowledge as a way to improve the collective intelligence, of the global human brain that my readers and leaders represent.

So as all this wisdom comes not only from my own eyes and ears but also from the world’s most awesome Sinologists teaching, residing, and drinking tea while mentoring and advising me, at the Humanities and Philosophy departments of Tsinghua University — it is just and proper, to Thank all of them, and also Thank the many others who shall remain anonymous. Thank You to all of You, for making this work possible.

So, the cardinal question must be asked again: “What Oil Has Got To Do With Anything?”

And especially with China?

Let’s see:

Being in Beijing around the same time that President Obama got there and the Asia Pacific Summit got underway, is a veritable boon to the initiated in the intricacies of Sino-European post-colonial relations. An it’s good to remember the Colonial Powers all working together during the Opium Wars fought due to energy & trade imbalances, and manifested fully at the turn of the century Boxer rebellion. Because the Boxer war of 1900, was where the Colonial empires flattened the Qing Dynasty and China’s failure, opened the door to runaway ambitions that ushered in the Great World War of 1914. And that First World War, in turn brought about the doomsday of all the empires that initiated it in Europe and beyond. And back then in 1900, Americans were heavily involved in the Boxer Rebellion and subsequent Boxer War waged between China and the West.

Today, that point in time, the Boxer Rebellion, along with the earlier Opium wars is considered the official beginning of Modern Chinese History. And that is how China sees the World. Through the prism of this great conflict. And as luck would have it, both Germany and America figure in it greatly. Almost just as much then as they do now.

So what about Oil? What Gives?

And please tell me, what does opium, silk, textiles and tea leaves, have got to do with oil and gas?

Back in the mid 19th century and specifically around 1849 the First Opium War gave rise not only to Chinese nationalism but also to the end of the slow food Quing Dynasty, and the beginning of modern fast shipping with steam powered engines burning coal. And the second Opium war gave rise to even faster shipping for the opium trade, through fast hybrid steam ships with sails, powered with coal, coal sludge and later oil…

And all this is good because a bit more than a decade after the Boxer Rebellion ended, the First World War started. Followed by the Second World War, that was followed by the Korean War, and the Cold War, and here we stand today, fully one Hundred years after “World War One”. But we’ve learned a few things along the way, with new accounts coming in from the bloodiest drama in history. These accounts many of which orientate us to look at this conflict through non European eyes, help us navigate the intricacies of European and Colonial Empires’ politics. We see the Energy landscape, the nascent resource fights, and the political and diplomatic maneuverings that kicked off the war that ended the empires.

To a seasoned observer of World History and Foreign Relations, China is far more central to that major conflict than Sarajevo in Bosnia where the Archduke Ferdinand was assassinated… But we will let the facts bear me out on this hypothesis. Be mindful of this though, because today, there is still no consensus on the Great War’s [First World War] origins or even on the lessons imparted to us. And as to the Leaders of our Nations and Alliances, then and now — they are fairly insignificant as mere observers and reactors to the energy and trade imbalances of wealth and power. But we know better… One things is for certain: The war demolished five great colonial empires and opened the way for Nationalism and it’s adherents everywhere on earth. Chairman Mao always claimed to be grateful for the Colonial Opium wars because as he claimed — “He wouldn’t be where He is if it wasn’t for them.”

But while I was in China when the President of the United States arrived, I was strictly an observer at the state celebrations the Chinese State put on, for the benefit of their fellow Asian Pacific Leaders at the Summit, and on second thought, for the American President too — whom the Chinese regard strictly as an adversary.

And it all comes down to oil again. And Gas since fossil fuels go together, but we stick to oil for convenience. And because it still powers up the world’s economic, civilian, and war engines. Sadly now that we have all the technology to be able to harvest our energy from clean and renewable resources — we are still beholden to the old fossil fuels, and we are still waging wars and negotiating for peace based on our energy needs for fire. Like primitive cave dwellers stealing fire from each other — we are fighting for oil and gas deposits, supplies, and pipelines. That is why the next theatre of war is the South Pacific and specifically the South China Sea, simply because underneath the shallow ocean there, lies enough oil and gas to make Saudi Arabia and all the Emirates of the Arabian peninsula, blush and bemoan their clumsy fate, together.

And yet methinks that we are truly fvckin primitives, because this fight to steal each other’s fire, reminds me that a hundred years ago the First World War — The so called GREAT WAR, was fought over energy imbalances as well. It started primarily in Europe in a most undiplomatic Germanic flatfooted and primitive way, and it was still fought in large parts of the globe four years later, with bullets, and increasingly with swords, bayonets, and lances. It was a backwards type of war. Many war technologies evolved but the cavalry lancers as a matter of fact were the menace of the armies engaged in the battlefield, because they were riding fearless, they were particularly fearsome, and thus greatly feared by their adversaries on either side. The French lancers sporting huge horses and tall men with the longest spears of the First World War were a sight to behold and run away from. And the Chinese Lancers with the shortest spears in the world and no horses were

The glint of steel makes men go weak in the knees, and back then the price of oil was at 70 cents per barrel, because horses charging with proud lancers on their back, didn’t need that much oil to fire up their bellies to trot to the front. Yet today when crude oil, powers up all the beasts of war — we seem to need more and more of it. And still we should consider ourselves lucky to have today’s spot crude oil prices, on the decline because this might be a way to preserve the peace.

Prices of crude oil are now well below $77 a barrel, so we can celebrate. Rightfully so after the spike to $130 in 2008, not so long ago. And it costs me nearly 100 pounds less to fill up the tank of my car with high octane gasoline, than it did a couple of years ago, and that’s just groovy. Am a huge user of Public transport and bicycles, yet the old ragtop Bentley sits in the garage for half a year until I take her out for a long ride to the continent or to the wilds of Scotland. It’s a huge antique car with a mighty V8 and such whole man-thigh like piston cylinders, that to fill them up to go boom, in order to propel this hunk of steel, take a lot of oil…

So am happy to ride to the South of France, and yet my shipping friends, the resource hedgies, and the oilers in the City, are all complaining that they don’t make enough money now, to put shoes on children’s’ feet.

I am sympathetic, but You have to hand it to them, cause they are really rich, and still bitching. And as for me — am curious, so I have to ask why the price of crude oil has tumbled so far down in such a short time?

I look to collective wisdom to answer these questions and from where I sit, it makes lots of sense, but when you gather the published facts, you get no help with that search for clear meaning. As from our publicly available media, you can only see a very cloudy picture emerge.

So let’s keep on looking to connect the dots and clean up the image that emerges. US Secretary of State John Kerry went to Oman, and then to Vienna, and points in between, for stirring up support for another round of talks on the Iranian nuclear deal extended over this past weekend. And it was in Vienna where good-man John Kerry, concluded the three way talks. Talks that brought about a serious work-out through an extension to the “Concluding talks” towards a commonly accepted beneficial deal with Teheran. All sides agreed to more inspections and that they will work things quietly behind the scenes and reconvene sometime before next July, because there has been so much progress — that they lost track of their differences and are all singing Kumbaya together.

Still in these Viennese festivities, Russia recently emerged as the key part of a nuclear deal with Iran, and thus we saw Kerry waltzing under the chandeliers with Lavrov and the Mullahs’ representatives. This will be the make-or-break dance for Kerry and Lavrov, and by extension for the US administration’s foreign affairs efforts on the issue of Nuclear Proliferation. In effect, US now greets Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov as a partner here, and an enemy there in Ukraine, and a friend elsewhere, like in Syria etc… It’s big world out there and a bit schizophrenic, but somewhere beyond our purview this must make some sense.

I think that Obama went to Beijing last week for a single reason. Being a lame duck President — he wanted to take the last opportunity to taste some really good Peking duck with plum sauce. And that is all he accomplished, in a very formal sixteen course sit-down dinner with white tablecloth and gloved waiters. Ahh and maybe he came over for some after dinner ginger cakes, and wild mint cookies, with hot green tea too… and maybe for some off-the-cuff talks with Premiere Xi Jinping of China. But that didn’t go so well.

Talking to China is Good though, because while You talk, you cannot wage war. Same as when you eat the crispy Peking Duck you can’t complain. But while in the Chinese capital, the President of the US, also attended the meeting with other Asian leaders but he appeared to be pushing a really strange trade agreement. Sadly this is a daft trade agreement, whose primary purpose is to isolate China, by bringing the rest of the region into the neoliberal “Washington Consensus” envelope. Just like slapping your host in the face — this proposed trade deal is in keeping with the old Opium war traditions. A colonial power ambition that caused the Opium Wars, and the Boxer rebellion, that in turn caused the First World War, that caused the rise of Nationalism, and that brought the end of the Chinese Imperial Houses and installed Chairman Mao to power. Am sure the American specialists don’t know all that, but it would behoove them to take the long term view and study History through Chinese eyes and then at least President Obama could credibly discuss the Chinese reality in historically accurate Cybernetic terms, with his very astute and intelligent host, Mr Xi. It’s important to know that Mr Xi is a keen student and scholar of History and a Tsinghua University graduate.

Yet instead of respecting his hosts by knowing all this, President Barack Obama was foolishly trying to sneak past the hosts and speak about this daft trade deal imagined by trolls and ghosts of another era, living in sin together under some sub-basement of the White House and State Department. Luckily, Obama understood this knowledge trap intuitively, and therefore his heart wasn’t into pushing it but that’s another story…

Mind You, because of this faux pas, Washington will never get the overladen, overimposing Trans-Pacific Partnership off the ground. And the functionaries in Washington although “NOW” they know all this — they are still thinking its worth sticking with this dead horse — even if it only serves to unbalance Beijing’s bearings in the South China Sea.

But let’s look at how things really turned our in Beijing last week: A big item on Chinese Leader Mr Xi agenda, in the Pacific Economic Forum, was the launch of an Asians-only lending institution intended to rival the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank affiliate doing the West’s work in the East. The US being entirely opposed to the idea of “people helping themselves” advance towards Progress and Prosperity without American assistance and all that goes with it, Washington used all means possible to sink this ship.

Still when Obama got off the plane in Beijing, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank had $50 billion in capital and 20 members — more to come in both categories in the days and weeks after the meetings.

Further afield, the situation on the ground in Ukraine is getting really messy again. Deaths spike and as winter sets in the events of the yearlong conflict have left Ukraine’s economy near extinction. No Gas — No Heat — No Mercy. Here is where you have to be really sympathetic with the Ukrainian people. But again, you have not read any of this, because it does not fit with the triumphalist approved story and the talking points memo, but Ukraine’s heart barely beats.

Further east, we hear through the financial markets that the ruble’s decline brings Russia to the brink of another financial collapse. Nothing could be further from the Truth even though Bloomberg, CNN, and CNBC would have you convinced the end is near. sanctions or no sanctions Russia’s ruble is rumbling along thunderously well in all places east of Berlin.

Mr Xi, meantime, had a very productive encounter with President Vlad, the impaler of Ukraine. People in attendance tell us that both put in strong performances and struck gold. In short order, Russia will send enough natural gas eastward to meet much of China’s demand and in the long run could price out American supplies in other Pacific markets, which are key to the success of the current production boom out West.

This is a lot of dots to connect. As I see it, the running theme in all this is that there is constructive activity and then there is destructive activity as well. Readers may think this oversimplifies, the situation, but I am willing to listen, and change my views accordingly.

Let’s go back to early September. On the 5th, Germany brokered a broken cease-fire agreement between Ukraine’s government in Kiev and the rebels in the eastern Donbass region represented by Russian separatists and Russ Militias of regulars and irregulars under Moscow’s orders. Her it is important to watch the Germans playing both sides, because they stoked the Maidan rebellion and Ukraine’s flirting with Berlin, and at the same time pretended to support the Russian annexation of Crimea because of the Russian Gas pipelines bringing cheap energy to their homeland via Ukraine. The German “Peace building” through war is reminiscent of Kaiser, and Adolf Hitler’s ambitions to have a quick war of conquest of all of EUrope, and thus gain their Thousand Year Peace for the Third Reich or whatever number the Germans are on their Reich induced opium pipe dreams. And for that fantasy they started war after war. The knowledge today is that the Germans armed the hand that killed the beloved Peace advocate Franz Ferdinand Archduke of the Austro Hungarian Empire in order to launch the First World War that satisfied their ambitions. Same as it is always the Germans that start the bar brawls in all port cities around the world, so it was the Germans who started the Boxer War in China when in 1900 they arrested an unarmed youth walking past their legation in Beijing and executed him immediately because his clothing and general appearance looked to them like what a “Boxer” would wear. This otherwise “inexplicable” execution of a youth actually started the full scale Boxer War in 1900. Same as the “inexplicable” assassination of the Austro-Hungarian Archduke in Sarajevo we now know to have been a German Plot to remove the “Peacenik” from the throne of the empire in order to allow them to go to another war of conquest and disaster. That’s the German psyche at play in China’s history too.

And it is the same way the Germans figure prominently in Ukraine today — whistling Peace songs — while stoking the fires of war through both sides, all the while whistling Dixie, and gaining influence on an asthmatic Washington conservative GOP and on Obama’s White House, who to their credit, made it plain they wanted no part of this. Still the Germans, preferring to continue open hostilities in Ukraine they allowed the ceasefire they brokered to be blasted to smithereens with their own ammunition supplied to Kiev and Donbass alike. Naturally Donbass and Dumbass go hand in hand, and with this type of foreign affairs policy emanating from Berlin and the dark German psyche — strange things are guaranteed to happen.

So less than a week after the Minsk Protocol was signed, ostensibly between Ukraine and the Donbass Russian separatists, but in reality between Germany and Russia both interested in dividing Ukraine and going halfsies of the spoils of war — Washington smartened up and Secretary of State John Kerry, made a little-noted trip to Jeddah to see King Abdullah at his summer residence. When it was reported at all, this was put across as part of Kerry’s campaign to secure Arab support in the fight against the Islamic State. Knowing that the Germans are stoking both Assad and ISIL, Kerry tried to deflect attention from the German “Nest of All Evil Ideas” as H G Wells described our erstwhile allies [for the moment].

And if you have any doubt who started the First World War because am sure you know who started the Second One, don’t take my word for it but look at the best of German Historians. In the 1960s, the esteemed German historian Professor Fritz Fischer, revived the question of guilt, claiming that his country was responsible because it had embarked on a premeditated war of aggression. Fischer’s student Volker Berghahn has now written a firm restatement of Fischer’s thesis, which can be found in The Cambridge History of the First World War, a comprehensive collection of essays on all aspects of the conflict. This text is also available online at the Library on the web.

But preventing the Good Germans from starting the Third World War was not all there was to the visit of the Secretary of State John Kerry, to the desert Kingdom. The State Department visit had to do with Washington’s desire to fight ISIL, contain Iran, and also help weaken the Russian economy in order to loosen King Vlad’s stranglehold on Ukraine’s neck. To do all this, is a tall order but Kerry told the Saudis three little things to do in order to make everyone in Washington’s sphere of influence including the Chinese[?] happy. 1)Raise production of the oil wells 2)Cut its crude price; and 3)Manage the local Fundamentalist Wahhabis in order to stop them from supporting ISIL with money, weapons, fighters, and words. But above all just make oil really really cheap.

So please now keep in mind these pertinent numbers: The Saudis produce high quality crude oil for less than $25 per barrel, as the break-even point in the national budget. The Russians need $105 to break even. And the Canadian mooseheads need $180 in total costs and energy inputs, in the dismal Tar Sands of Alberta. They need oil at the price of $180 per barrel, to even approach the break even point. All the difference is subsidies and oil company development finance skimming profits. Creative accounting will only get you this far though, before the fates, declare that you’ve become bankrupt. If you don’t believe me — just ask the Greeks and their German friends loan sharking and lording it over them, like slave masters to their helots. Don’t get me started with the Übermensch again, but they start all these wars and I don’t like that.

But who is counting?

Shortly after Kerry’s visit, the Saudis began increasing production, sure enough — by more than 100,000 barrels daily during the rest of September, and with more increases apparently to come as winter sets in. Last week they dropped the price of Arab Light by 45 cents a barrel, Bloomberg News just reported. This has proven a market mover, sending prices to $77 a barrel at this moment.

Think about this. Winter is coming, Iran is embargoed, serious production outages are routine in Iraq, Nigeria, Venezuela, and Libya, other OPEC members are screaming for relief, Russia is exasperating for the falling prices and the fact that the Chinese are never paying full long term contract price for the fossil fuels they import but only daily spot prices; and that the Ukrainians are skimming oil and gas off the top of the Berlin bound pipelines — and yet the Saudis make back-to-back moves certain to push falling prices still lower, while praying to the Prophet for more deposits to be found under the desert sands before the Chinese start developing their own fields in the South China Sea.

You now start seeing the picture and if you do the math, and take into account Kerry’s unreported itinerary to help you along in your mental energetic exercises — you start seeing these moves in the commodities markets as signals for what’s coming down the pike: “There are very big hands pushing massive quantities of oil into the global supply right now” a great source wrote in an e-mail note the other day.

The Russians, meanwhile, are reported to be sending soldiers and artillery back across the Ukrainian border. This we read, but we read nothing as to why this may be so, assuming for argument’s sake that it is. We are invited to accept that there is no reason worth reporting. But the death toll keeps going up. The possibility that we are so ill-informed — is that these reported deployments are in reaction to moves kept out of sight. Given Washington’s disapproval of the German Russian friendship moves that brought about Minsk accord and its underhanded manipulations in the oil markets since it was signed, I label this a likelihood, at least, and maybe more like a certainty.

And given that Stalin and Hitler secretly agreed to split Poland in half seventy years ago — then maybe the Good Germans have agreed to split Ukraine in half today with the Good Russians and nobody is the wiser. Except that NSA intercepts all of that intelligence traffic and bugs the current Chancellor’s Blackberry, so Mr Kerry must have wind of that and he tries his best to deflate this second German Daft Agreement with Russia.

As to the Ukrainian economy, this is getting shafted with each passing day. The Ukrainian economy and it’s markets are sorted already, even before the International Monetary Fund gets its mitts on the place. A Royal Bank of Scotland analyst in Hong Kong, just published a “tour de l’horizon” and here are just a few of the highlights, or lowlights: With the Russian ruble cratering, Kiev recently had to remove a currency peg of 13 hryvnia to the dollar. It dropped 15 percent in the next five trading sessions. From a rate of 8 to 1 a year ago, it now cost 16 hryvnia to buy a dollar.
With the banking system in peril, a third of deposits had been withdrawn—before the currency collapsed, this is. “There is no way to repair this damage by doing some kind of recapitalization exercise that may still work in the eurozone,” the RBS man writes.
Efforts to stem the hryvnia’s fall have dangerously depleted foreign currency reserves. As of October, the central bank had $12.6 billion dollars in assets—taxi fare in the context.
Ukraine owes Russia $1.6 billion in gas bills by yearend—and then faces fees of $700 million a month for new supplies.
The Ukrainian automobile association, to burrow in slightly, just reported that new car registrations fell by 65 percent in October from the previous year, to 5,900 units—this in a nation of 46 million. The No. 1 producer, Saporisky Awtomobilebudiwny Sawod, turned out 1,007 vehicles. It has 21,000 employees on the payroll.
This kind of report leaves me nearly speechless — and our correspondents silent, of course. All that we have read of this past year, events taking place in the name of democracy and a better life for Ukrainians, comes to this. “The economy?” Hinterkoerner concludes. “What economy?”

Onward. “Going forward,” as the State Department’s chirpy spokespeople like to put it.

Kerry just finished up in Oman, where a round of talks on the Iran question were held just short of the Nov. 24 deadline for a deal. Russia’s role in these talks has suddenly grown potentially large. To break the impasse over Iran’s centrifuge count, Moscow offers to take most of Iran’s stockpile of unprocessed uranium and send back enriched fuel when Iran needs it to power the nuclear energy program it wants. This is a reprise of an idea first floated five years ago, and this time Tehran finds it acceptable, at least tentatively.

Put this in the larger context: With the prospect of ending three and a half decades of pointless hostility within reach, this is the moment to be battering Russia as near to a pulp as possible with sanctions, market interventions to its disadvantage, and who can tell what, on the military side in Ukraine. You start to think Washington simply cannot help itself, and gloats in it’s victory. But more on this in a minute.

And so on to Beijing. Nobody will put it this way, but President Obama arrived with a huge handicap and one failure already accomplished, with several others to come. First, it was a mistake to oppose the Beijing-sponsored Asian lending institution in the first place, and already it begins to cost the Americans dearly in friends and treasure. Second, is the TPP trade pact that is no further along from stillbirth as you may have noticed. Third, the climate pact Obama and Xi signed looks so far like an agreement for the sake of an agreement — that nobody disputes that it was staged as something of a Chinese gift, Obama could bring home in triumph. The only “successes” American media were able to report were a few market-opening measures of benefit to specific American corporations. Nothing visionary, fair to say. A junior trade negotiator could have gotten this done in no time at all.

But why all the fuss? Here is why: This is a point hardly lost on the Chinese. They all know that there is no Change vision, nor adaptation to Geopolitical shifting realities, on the American side. There is only resistance, obfuscation, and objection. On the other hand, President Xi has consistently urged a “new great power relationship” and He is absolutely right on this. Now if any of You can explain why this is not a perfectly logical thought in the face of 21st century realities, and in the face of German-Russian friendly bear-hugs and belligerence that will surely, end badly for the rest of us, — I’ll have to ask you politely to please put that opium pipe down.

Washington’s claim to be an unrivaled Pacific power by destiny, goes back to Teddy Roosevelt’s imperial cruise around the region after the US defeated the Spanish and massacred the Jefferson-reading Filipino democratic movement One Hundred years ago. We simply cannot surrender the turf, realities be damned.

President Xi, on the other hand, is all about engineering and current realities on the ground, and not a few of these realities have to do with building stronger ties with Russia. If Washington plays hard to get, President Xi turns to Putin and shakes hands with Vlad the oil man, on a historically huge, $400 billion gas deal earlier this year.

You can guess, how President Obama felt when the two announced during his visit that they have just reached another deal, this time for $325 billion.

The gas will arrive from Siberia by way of a not-yet-constructed pipeline. PetroChina will take a 10 percent share of a subsidiary of Rosneft, the Russian gas company. By 2020, China will source a quarter of its demand from Russia; the Russians, in turn, will by then sell more gas to China than they now send to Europe.

And the new Chinese airplane carrier group is steaming fast to the South China Sea to confront the American battle group cruising there.

Need to remind you that this new airplane carrier was sold to Beijing from Moscow along with technology to built three more like it that are now busily constructed in the best Chinese shipyards. If they learn to turn them on like so many copy cat ships of sound design, or like the Range Rover evoque copies called LandWind and selling for a fifth of the Range Rover’s price — then we are surely looking at the Sino Century coming soon to a theatre near you. And it arrives only a few years earlier than expected.

Listen to the sound of the world turning.

And wonder why your media does not pass it on to you and why Apple’s Itunes do not sport this on it’s library…

It always seems that more news is lost along this line of reasoning.

But when accounting for facts and logistics to pursue the truth, you cannot fail to see that Russia is also in numerous other energy deals with China, including one that doubles petroleum exports to the People’s Republic. Then there is the Silk Road Investment Fund, a $40 billion vehicle to finance development projects in the seven nations of Central Asia. Relations with Vietnam and Japan, horrible of late, now appear to be on the mend. So much for Washington’s role as protector of the region from the reawakening empire.

“Add this up,” writes Ken Courtis, a close observer of the international scene for decades, “and you have the outline of a number of important initiatives which will be key to China’s increased lead role in development through investment in other emerging market economies.”

Courtis had a curious exchange with Putin during some of the economic forum sessions in Beijing. He asked if Russia would provide North Korea security guarantees if it agreed to renounce nuclear weapons.

Putin replied in part: “Your question is too clever. This is not the moment to even raise that question, let alone answer it. Often, the problem in the world is not that small countries, who feel they are under siege, are unwilling to change. Rather, it is that the bigger countries are all piling on like bullies in the school yard – and they don’t know when to stop.”

I hope Kerry and Obama were listening at that moment. As Courtis heard it, “I think Putin was signaling to the West that there will be no more help from Russia with sanctions on North Korea, or anywhere else. One could also read: Iran, Syria, Venezuela, etc., into that line of reasoning.”

We can now start to connect the dots and thus see a clearer picture emerge, and identify the costs of a consistent pattern of destructive behavior on Washington’s part here. Here, there, and everywhere. Specific to the case, the Sino-Russian energy deals cannot possibly be taken as other than long-term response to the West’s renewal of Cold War hostilities toward Russia and its refusal to countenance China’s emergence. More narrowly, Putin wants an Iran deal to demonstrate Russia’s importance as a global player, but he is not far from being fed up enough to throw this to the dogs.

The obvious question is what we are watching as all these events unfold and then coalesce into a single reality. This peculiar moment seems to make this reality clear. Nostalgic for the period of primacy known as the American Century, the US cannot accept its passing. Logically enough, the task becomes essentially destructive of the world, as it is an erroneous effort [in the end] to destroy history itself.

The planet’s other major powers, for all their imperfections and, indeed, disgraces, understand that their time has come. Because now parity between West and non-West is upon us. This is the core reality, and is our task to not lose sight of it, because China’s and Russia’s domestic problems are rather like America’s. They are to be resolved by Chinese, Russians and Americans, a point we understand easily when it comes to the interference of others — but not the other way around, when the question is our interference elsewhere across the globe.

But is everything that bad? Maybe. But only for those who insist on holding on to the wrong end of the stick. This century’s winners and losers are not yet clearly marked. Yet, I have to preserve my optimism on this point, but with each passing event, each mistake, who is fated for which side becomes a little more evident.

I like the thought a Chinese scholar made at a dinner in Beijing the other night. He spoke of Ukraine, but the remark applies across the board: “From our perspective, we see all of this agitation as noise at the surface,” he said. Then he cited that scene from “Macbeth” at Dunsinane Castle, “Life’s but a walking shadow, a poor player that struts and frets his hour upon the stage, and then is heard no more. It is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.” The Chinese — always attuned to the long view, are now saying: “Who is the idiot in this man’s rendering?”

And in keeping with the underlying theme of this examination of Cybernetics and Foreign Policy and War — we must ask the question that prompted the diplomat George Kennan to describe World War I as “the great seminal catastrophe” of the twentieth century, because it led to so many further catastrophes.

But for me the greatest Catastrophe was that the Boxer War was waged by all the Cosmopolitan powers banding together against the Chinese natives in their own land. And it was that peculiar anomaly that gave rise to all the catastrophes that followed. As in the Pacific where the American Filippino war of subjugation of the once proud people in 1900, truly closed the China gate to the Continental Europeans and thus provided the flap of the butterfly’s wings that set off the subsequent hurricanes of World War One. The Anglo-American Alliance was cemented in the battles of Beijing and Manila, and in my mind it wasn’t just the German plot that came to fruition on June 28th of 1914, when the Serbian nationalist Gavrilo Princip assassinated the Peace Loving Archduke Francis Ferdinand, heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne.

Yes it was the German Kaizer who told the Austrians to attack Serbia and who had previously armed the Austro-Humgarian army, and the Serbs combined. But today it is evident that it was the killing of the Chinese people’s ambitions for equality in their own country that gave us the cataclysm that opened the flood gates. Because now, One hundred years later, historians wondering how such a cataclysmic war came almost out of nowhere, understand the China Question in light of whetted appetites, and explore the failure of foolish governments to understand where their colonial ambitions and bottled-up actions of conquest could lead. And they understand the German finger pulling the trigger in Sarajevo, and their soldiers executing the unarmed boxer teenager inside their legation in Beijing that started the Big Fire of the First World War that ended with all of the seven empires mourning far too many millions of people dead and the loss of innocence and an imagined world of Peace, Progress, and Harmony.

Most of the empires themselves never recovered either and then Nattionalism came along and we reaped another Hundred Years of Continuous War, albeit war by other names.

Go Figure. Remember the Boxer Rebellion?

How does the Islamic Rebellion compare to that long ago Boxer Rebellion, in retrospect, now that we are shoving Democracy down their throats, and making them non humans in their own lands, through the force of the bayonets?

In my book, education is the only way to get people to understand and embrace Democracy, but that’s a tall order…

Still it’s worth reading the book…

Yours,
Pano

PS:

Methinks, it’s time to draw the whole picture.

I leave You to it…

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Posted by: Dr Pano Kroko | November 25, 2014

So You wanna be a Leader? Become a Good Man First…

It’s hard to be a Leader when you are a Start Upper, a recent engineering Graduate, a nascent MBA, or even a brilliant Tech Coder and Science Innovator. And since you don’t have the title “manager” on your resume, and are not able to provide specific examples of your management experience, most people will discount your “balls.”

So what’s an aspiring Leader can do without holding formal management positions in their youthful exuberant state?
You can do quite a lot as it turns out. First off: If you are interested in becoming a manager of People and resources, and a Leader to boot — then there is no better way that learning by doing. And here bellow are the best ways to get management experience without being a manager already. And for those of you graduating from my Innovation Master Class and having a young Start up Company to lead; all of these things are the daily bread of a Start Up Leader. So please start thriving in it…

Leadership Qualities, Leadership Development, Program Management Skills, People management skills, and Leadership Programs, are all things that people need, but above all else You must really take the lead on a Project and deliver results to see if you can cut it.

Sure — You can also take a course on the subject, or gain practical experience in project management in a large organization, but it doesn’t suffice. Nor is it effective to read a good book on the topic, and interview successful project managers, to get an idea of what it’s about… You can even get certified as a project manager, but that will still not be enough.

Instead, do this one thing: Lead a Project from the ground up and deliver a success. Or a failure. Both things will teach you to do this thing and unleash the monster within. Just Do It. Do this one project and then forget it as you go on to become a Leader. Because in a New Company, you need be both a good Leader and a good Manager and unless you are planning to make a career out of project management, these skills you will learn will propel you to become a Leader and a better Manager too.

So Let’s Get Cranking:

Number One is to manage yourself to get in a position to Lead a project. Any Project will do. For Profit, for Non-Profit, for Church or Institution, or for Company — the Project Leadership skills are the same, because the skills required to be an effective project manager are very similar to the skills required to be an effective general manager, or Leader of an Enterprise.
Simple Management Skills all Leaders must have are the following: business planning, organizing, setting goals, managing budgets, leading people, and juggling multiple priorities. If you have never managed a project before, then start by volunteering for project teams. It doesn’t have to be a huge project – start small – perhaps volunteering to do the Community Outreach. Or to organize the local church’s Thanksgiving food drive. Or better yet to lead a stealth project for a new product that the engineers want to test out without incurring the wrath of management for wasting their time. Hopefully, you’ll get to do something really cool and also experience what a good project manager does. You should also observe carefully what the ineffective project managers do and learn from it. Either way you have to lead a project in order to qualify for Leadership Management. Then, once you’ve established yourself as a dependable team Manager, through your newfound Project management expertise — you should step up and volunteer to lead a really valuable company project. That’s the way to launch your career towards Leadership Management. And that’s another thing they don’t teach you at Business School: How to manage the leadership track…

Number Two is to learn how to and to constantly practice by making part of your personality and character the Art and the Ability to Collaborate, Cooperate, Train, Teach, Coach, and Mentor others. A big part of being an effective manager and an aspiring and aspirational Leader, is to develop the People in your presence, in your circle, in your team, and then enlarge the circle from there on, to include all the people in your company, all the people you come into contact with, and on, and on… And in order to do that, it must become part of your nature to nurture the best qualities in all others. Of course a manager needs to know the basics such as how to “take onboard” and train new employees, coach experienced employees, and eventually mentor employees. But you also have to know how to hire and how to fire fast too. Of course, in order to be considered for an opportunity to train new employees, it’s a given that you’d need to be very good at your job, or whatever it is that you’re teaching others and not just theoretical either. Ergo your Project management skills come-in-handy because You probably have done all that before — by doing your project well. But beyond being good at something, it’s important to learn and practice the skills of training, coaching, and mentoring. And the best way to learn is by doing it fearlessly. So Go Ahead and volunteer to develop a training program for young recruits. And if the company doesn’t trust you with it, do it on your own time by volunteering to mentor underprivileged kids in a tough neighborhood. Learn to deal with gangsta bangers’ little brothers and coach them to play in a sports team, or be the Big Brother in their lives and you’ll be Golden for my Start Ups any day of the week. So Learn the art of coaching others and learn the Socratic Dialogue by asking great questions, and you’ll be OK.

The Third thing to do is to hone your interactive communication skills. Many organizations use selection committees, hiring teams, or will involve others when interviewing internal and external management candidates, and especially when selecting Project Mangers and Leaders, and you can ace all that by being the different guy who helps ghetto kids on his own time. Again, you have to volunteer for these opportunities to help selflessly out in the community in order to be the Big Guy inside your Organization. And it’s no small potatoes that the Good Karma will shine upon you her eternal sunlight too. Do this and do it well. Don’t just “wing it” when it’s your turn to interview. Just Ace It. Develop a list of great interview questions, practice active listening and asking probing follow-up questions, and learn how to establish a rapport quickly. Being on the other side of the table is Gold because the company wants you to be able to screen, interview, and select great employees as an essential management skill that can be learned and practiced in either side of the fence you stand. My humble advise is to always practice loving kindness on all your crucial conversations, in the job and on the field, and all things will become clear and you’ll be seen as a good communicator.

The Fourth Thing is to Learn to manage conflict. Mange this and you’ll be known as the Conflict resolution Go-To person. But to do this You must have done a few terrifying yet crucial employment and Life and Death serious conversations, and be able to give loving kindness, firmness, and great feedback as well as advise for going forward to the other person. Dealing with those emotionally sticky “people issues” is the most challenging part of a manager’s job but it can also be the most rewarding. We all face challenging people issues with our co-workers, family members, and friends and we have to overcome petty feelings to rise above our situation. So your Life is “rich” when it comes to opportunities to resolve conflict and gain trust. Learn how to do it in a positive, smiling, and constructive way. Being able to provide specific examples of when you were able to handle a conflict, provide difficult feedback, or address a sensitive issue, will demonstrate that you have the willingness and capability to handle the “people” aspect of a management position. And believe me, this is how Leaders are made. In the ghetto there are plenty of experienced handlers, such as Police, Social Workers & Church People, that cannot deal with people issues, without invoking their ultimate power authority. But if you are able to resolve conflict through your communication nd Conflict Resolution Skills, then this single Quality will set you miles apart, and propel you to genuine Leadership positions.

And the Fifth most important thing is to mange resources and logistics. And the way to do this is by finding, creating, and managing a budget. As a Leader and a Manager, I would love it if one of my people comes to me with a Project Idea and an accompanying budget to boot. If employees volunteered to create and manage a budget for me, I would be twice thrilled. And while there are some managers who enjoy the number crunching aspect of management, for me is the least favourite part and therefore I delegate it to the computer programing software that does it best with minimum input. I expect my people to be just as good on this. So if you’re good at Excel, and spreadsheets in general — you can learn to create and manage a budget. But it would be the genius amongst you who can also find the resources to fund the budget for a new Project before coming to see me… Still a good place to start is with your own team budget. If you can convince me to let go of the budgeting responsibility, you can be the new Star. Still today, you have to do what you do by learning finance, budgeting, and accounting. Take an online course, learn to do a cost-benefit analysis and ROI, and learn to speak like a bean-counter. See the Finance and Accounting Glossary for the Non-Financial Manager on the Internet and learn how to do honest to goodness Corporate Logic accounting.

But be a Project Leader first and start by being One amongst the Great Leaders, by working with the kids in the ghetto. Just don’t drive your fancy car down there because that’s a bad introduction and a temptation to boot…

Do this and then come see me for a job.

Yours,
Pano

PS:

There are a lot more skills you can learn to prepare you to be a good manager, and those include presentation skills, communication skills, leading through change, adapting and leading an organization to change, developing flexible and strategic thinking, offering tactical reasoning, and many other good and useful skills.

In order to become a Leader is also very important to be able to share from personal experience stories of your Life, and to be able to talk about what you have done, in order to motivate people to go through change and adversity. Tell them that story, in order to lead them — not what they should do.

The management practice above is like yoga in that it will give you the proper balance, and the posture to gain all the practical management experience needed, to help propel you on your journey forward, towards your Leadership position.

However to become a Good Leader you should also be a Tough Mother when it comes to people, and there is no better experience to do this than working with the difficult kids in the ghetto. Do this and come see me because this is just the primer to set you on your way…

Posted by: Dr Pano Kroko | November 24, 2014

Finding the Purpose in Your Business Plans

The Three Cardinal Panoisms:

1) Vision

2) Mission

3) Method

Finding the Vision of a Business is the key to any successful endeavour.

Planning the mission of a business can take anywhere from five minutes to five days or five years, depending on the target’s complexity. Decision-making criteria span a broad scope of considerations, ranging from the weather and terrain, enemy situation, the personnel used and the timeline set. Similar to mission planning in special operations, there are myriad unknown factors that entrepreneurs must consider before they unleash a new product or service.

Here is a 10-step approach to consider when entering new terrain, a greenfield opportunity, or a new market:

1. Set the intent. This is the purpose for which your company exists — the difference you envision that your product or service will make for the customer and the value it will yield. Intent is different from mission or vision as it connotes an openness to change. Adaptability is the sole reason your endeavor will fail or succeed.

2. Assess the target. Whether you’re creating a greenfield Innovative StartUp, entering a new market, improving an existing product, or crashing a White House party, building a complete understanding of the environment helps you comprehend the boundaries that constrict maneuverability, such as finance, resource availability, economic environment, taxes, federal regulations, egos, as well as social, formal, and informal (i.e. good ol’ boy) networks.

3. Identify the objectives. Objectives are the milestones you want to achieve that will help you pursue (and ideally, realize) your intent. While intent is more abstract, objectives offer direct feedback about your progress.

4. Size up the competition. Once you enter into the enemy’s (competition’s) backyard, you need to be ready for anything. Sizing up the competition means identifying the likely and unlikely courses of action (COA) they may take once they’re alerted of your presence. Building the mental picture of what such COAs look like helps to reduce your team’s response time — and win.

5. Evaluate the terrain. Due diligence pays dividends. Navigating the landscape of distribution, suppliers and vendors can be tricky — and costly — if you don’t strategically identify not only the most efficient way to get there, but also the most effective for your customers, brand and employees.

6. Determine your team. With the objective, competition and delivery means identified, it’s time to find the right talent that will help you achieve your mission. While soliciting like-minded teammates is a natural instinct, integrating people with diverse backgrounds can offer diverse discoveries and thus generate greater idea flow and assist on execution.

7. Maximize your resources. While more resources certainly offers greater support, capital and supplies are rarely options for startups simply due to cost. Instead, you must work with what’s at your disposal and aim to acquire more. Resources come in all shapes and sizes ranging from people, tech tools, money, knowledge, time and products. Identify the resources unique to you and leverage them towards your value proposition.

8. Plan and rehearse. It has been said that the plan is nothing, but planning is everything. However, as nice as an intricately laid-out plan is, there also comes a time for decisions. Give yourself a timeline for when a decision must be made on topic XYZ to avoid sinking into the blackhole of analysis paralysis.

9. Execute, execute, execute. The only way to learn and improve is to apply theory to practice. Start small, iterate and be sure to execute better with the learnings each time. Iterate fail, iterate again until really good iteration follows.

10. Share lessons learned. After-action reports (or post mortems) are an effective means towards improving team learning. Comparing the intended outcome with the actual results achieved shines new light on the known factors such as roles, responsibilities, expectations and the unknown factors such as environment, market dynamics and competitor responses not previously considered. Critical to successful AAR’s is to look at them with a proactive and not retrospective lens. By that, I mean there’s no point dwelling on learning lessons discussed. Instead, use those lessons learned as a springboard for improvement.

These Ten Resource orientated Business Plan objectives always seen through the prism of the Three Cardinal Panoisms will deliver success and glory to your StartUp Company or to your Business of any stage and size.

Keep in Mind the Three Cardinal Panoisms:

1) Vision

2) Mission

3) Method

And it is always the most important step to remember that finding the Proper Vision of Your Business is the key to any successful endeavour.

Apply this and See for yourself the results.

Yours,
Pano

PS:

Don’t let yesterday’s Strategy, business plans, and tactics, determine your actions today. Take stock of the market’s reaction and shift accordingly, because you’ve got to get in the flow of things. Truly the ability to learn from your customers and adapt fast and furious to the changing conditions is the essential competitive advantage that successful startups possess.

Shift as if your Life depends on it. Transfer your assets to your new positions and gain market share. Scale and pivot as fast as you can without inducing dizziness to your customers.

Business plans are living documents and change with the weather. Much like wine the rarest of business plans stand the test of time to become vintage. The vast majority turn to vinegar. So shift them accordingly…

And Remember…
Nothing is written in stone — except your tombstone.

My Innovation Master Class, come StartUp Weekend Bootcamp is the embodiment of Benjamin Franklin’s method of “Attempt & Fail” and attempt again through Logic and Science in order to produce great results. And that we certainly produce as far as creating new Start Up companies and great consumer facing products. We follow the method of continuously “Attempt & Fail and Iterate” because this method produces something marvelous in new company formation and engineering new products.

Whether Edison, Tesla, Bell, or myself — we all had to become Masters in Things and Processes that no one ever knew existed before. And so it is with my “grasshoppers” and StartUppers, in China’s Tsinghua University in Beijing. They are all becoming experts in following my ideas and creating companies and products that have never existed before.

That’s Quantum Innovation.

Teaching Innovation and starting a dozen tech companies over the space of a long weekend in China, is fun but it is also educational becuasse it is schooling me in the dynamics of a people and a nation moving forward, from an emerging economy made up of a plethora of imitation Companies to a future consumer based middle economy, created largely through innovative Start Up companies.

Some of the greatest of these Start Up companies we are creating them right now as we speak. These are valuable Technology and Innovation Start Up companies, created by Yours Truly, with the best Human Capital the world over within the best Technical University…

They all start with a Strategic idea as a speck of a question mark in my head. The question mark of a novel idea is innovation itself and is always followed by the question of what if? What if this product or service could meet an existing need of Society for a solution to a serious issue. That’s it.

So now we put the test to the wheel of History and launch a dozen new Start Up Companies. So Let’s create a Thousand Blossoms of Flowers and let’s get a Thousand Points of Light shine bright upon the world starting right here in Beijing.

Tsinghua University is an amazing place and in many ways a far better place than MIT — which used to be it’s direct competitor. Now Tsinghua with it’s great humanitarian traditions along the technological advances and engineering is a far better place to pursue the prospects of Innovation in a peaceful economy. You know it is far better because unlike MIT, doesn’t have the Department of Defense dictating and financing the projects and the policy of the Institution of learning. That is why I teach this class here in China’s premier University, and for many years we have created a dozen fresh companies through each Innovation Master Class. Companies that go on to solve the really big problems the world is facing through Entrepreneurship and Market Orientation of progressive products and services.

So again this weekend for another year — am fortunate enough to be in Beijing’s cold weather, sequestered inside Tsinghua University doing what I do best. CREATE NEW LIFE BY CREATING GREAT INNOVATIVE COMPANIES.

This time around we are all greatly animated because as in the past many years we are starting a dozen fresh Technology StartUps. Only this time, I have not allowed any Imitators into the mix. No more copycats of Uber managing taxi services. No more copycats of AirBnB. No more copycats of any company that is already existing in Silicon Valley and is already dominating it’s niche. From now on — only pure Innovation. No more exact copies with a few different bells and whistles. It’s a Good Model to follow as I have in my VC and Entrepreneurial Life. Innovate or Perish.

And this time around in China’s history, we are strategically orientated towards pure unique Innovation. We are creating great Start Up companies ranging from Health, fast Internet App, digital genomics, Biotech, medical genetics, earth’s soil reclamation through nanotech, space pod agriculture, pharma and protein meds, space systems, satellite communications, meta Wi-Fi, and a few more Internet plays to fill everything in between. We are creating these companies not just to get busy, but in order to solve big problems through Innovative Science and capture the spirit of the people. But we also want to win the imagination of the marketplace through great new products and cool services the world has never seen before. The way to the heart of the Markets is only through great consumer friendly innovative products and services, and I know that rather well.

That’s our Remit. And that’s what we deliver…

Three sleepless days and nights and we are done. On Monday we fund the whole lot. And with so much money sloshing around Beijing’s Financial Street, we are boundless. And then my work is done and I fly off leaving behind some serious Tech Companies, a definite Economic Growth upside, and a Beneficial Legacy to boot.

What’s not to like?

It takes us roughly 67 hours to create this dozen companies with a group of 150 MBAs, graduate and post-Doc Engineers, Medical Doctors, Hackers. Coders, Nanotechnology Entrepreneurs, and Wireless Professors. A great group of intelligence helps me emerge new Life.

My work is energetic wisdom, but our outcome is Emergent New Life. New Life through companies and products that appeal to the whole world. See the results here and then let me know…

Yours,
Pano

PS:

And China is changing rapidly. Somehow the air in Beijing seems a little bit cleaner and the people’s faces a little bit happier…

And China’s quantitative easing makes young companiesthe natural receipients of the Largesse of this “Flush with Cash” era and the technology Investors are clamoring to get onboard my StartUps.

That proves the axiom that where Competition exists and sccarcity is felt — supply responds appropriately. And where supply of Capital is evident — young companies fill their coffers with easy money.

On this count I like China’s 12th Five year plan distributing a steady same growth in the economy.

Here is the FB group that you can join so next time around you are invited, as we will hold this Innovation Master Class next year too:

https://www.facebook.com/events/156603211200544/?fref=ts

 

Ben Franklin with headphones listening

Change is Constant.

In fact it’s the only “constant” we have in physics.

The Corporate history of the world seen through some of the greatest companies on record, is a vast battle field littered with corpses and ghosts of the once mighty empires. And it is this field of battle between Innovation and Complacency that actually provides the best way to understand the acceleration of innovation and the failure of the incumbents, that has occurred over the last couple of centuries and is accelerating today, as we move forward to the Shared Economy of Ideas.

The original age of innovation has ushered in an era of unforeseen productivity, life improvements, safety, birth control, educational achievements, and social justice, as well as more Liberty, Democracy, and Longevity for all. In short abundant progress for the majority of humanity.

Things that once only the kings and queens could afford, are today the domain of every humble home dweller.

Still it was also an absolutely terrifying roller-coaster ride for some of the world’s wealthiest and most powerful people at the top. As for the kings and queens — they haven’t fared so well either…

Yes, it was a time of monumental change and a threatening set back for the Status Quo and those owning the means of production and the Rentier class. Vicious turmoil is popular for short periods of time before society seeks to find it’s own equilibrium again in somewhat static terms. There are benefits to Stability. So over a number of generations, our society responded to the ever changing landscape and the uncertainty of what tomorrow might bring, by developing a new set of institutions to lessen the pain of this new volatility, including Labour Unions, Social Security, corrupt Political Parties, Finance Banks, and the single greatest risk-mitigating institution ever: the corporation. All these are shock absorbers to smooth the ride of Humanity on the bumpy road of History traveling at breakneck speed towards the promised land of Progress.

During the late 19th century, a series of experiments in organizational structure culminated, in the 1920s, with the birth of General Motors, the first modern corporation.

Its basic characteristics soon became ubiquitous. A great deal of crowdsourcing ensued. Distributed production, distributed ownership, and distributed workforce soon followed.

For example: Ownership, which was once a job passed from father to son, was now divided among countless shareholders. Management, too, was divided, amongst a large group of professionals who directed units, or “subdivisions,” within it. Process and resource as well as parts procurement was spread over a vast number of sources and the workers came from everywhere and were located everywhere the corporation functioned and sold it’s products. The idea being that the corporation should sell it’s products everywhere around the world… and thus an every man, woman, and child became likely customers and purchasers of goods, services, and equities of said corporations.

Equalizing and spreading globally, employment, product benefits, as well as risks and rewards, soon the corporation became the way forward.

The corporation, in essence, acted as a giant risk-sharing machine, amassing millions of investors’ capital and spreading it among a large number of projects, then sharing the returns broadly too. The corporation managed the risk so well, in fact, that it created an innovation known as the steady job. For the first time in history, the risks of innovation were not born by the poorest. This resulted in what economists call the Great Compression, when the gap between the income of the rich and poor rapidly fell to its lowest margin.

That’s capitalism at work for you…

The secret of the corporation’s success, however, was that it generally did not focus on truly transformative innovations, but in steady same iteration of products that worked well with their many clients and shareholders who often times were the same people since the shares of the companies were the best product a successful company could sell…

Most corporate firms found that the surest way to grow was to perfect the manufacturing of the same products, year after year. Especially in the United States, this trend defined companies like G.M., U.S. Steel, Procter & Gamble, Kellogg’s, Coca-Cola and other iconic companies who achieved their breakthrough insights in the pre-corporate era and spent the next several decades refining them, perhaps introducing a new product every decade or so.

During the corporate upstart period between 1870 and 1920, cars, planes, electricity, telephones and radios were introduced. But over the next 50 years, as cars and planes got bigger and electricity and phones became more ubiquitous, the core technologies stayed fundamentally the same. And although some notable exceptions include the washing machine and household appliances freeing women to join the work force, the fax machine allows to teleport documents and letters of all kinds, the television wasting the lives of countless millions of people, the nuclear power killing scores of civilians and perpetuating the Theatre of HORROR called détente, and of course disposable diapers overflowing our landfills…

Some good, some bad, and some in between. That is the story of Corporate Innovation and innovation in general when the profit motive is concerned or the advantage at war and love.

Still plenty of innovative ideas and projects came out of the celebrated corporate-research departments at Bell Labs, DuPont and Xerox who employed scores of white-coated scientists, but whose impact was blunted by the thick shell of bureaucracy around them.

As an example: Bell Labs of AT&T, conceived of some great vertical and horizontal radical inventions, like the transistor, the laser and many of the programming languages in use today, but its parent company, AT&T, ignored most all of them in order to keep focus on its basic telephone monopoly. Starting as a young innovative company itself a century earlier AT&T had now become a behemoth and a killer of technological innovation. As monopolies always tend to do, so did AT&T and soon fell victim to it’s own entropy. AT&T actually used it’s major muscle to stop innovation wherever it could by acquiring and shutting down competing companies, discrediting superior core technologies, and killing startups by suing their pants off. They were particularly good at shuttering important innovative upstarts and inventive StartUps, through litigation [if they resisted AT&T’s buy-in cyanide pill, known as strategic exit] in order to stop them from competing in what it considered it’s own turf. A gangster tactic but the thick carpet pile crowd of New Jersey had it too good lording over the world like T-Rex for far too long to adjust it’s reality and adapt to change. I know this from personal experience when me and my young company Seattle Wireless were both personally and separately sued by AT&T in order to stop us from propagating the Wi-Fi technology that I pioneered and to stop me from sharing the message of ubiquitous and cheap wireless internet and wireless telephony communications. They really got afraid and wanted to stop me from evangelizing the gospel of Wireless freedom for the masses because I was speaking in all the conferences and Telecoms meetings and was setting up Wi-Fi companies all over the world with the simple premise: We pay for home and office DSL and Internet connections and therefore we are the owners of our bits of bandwidth and we should just attach Wi-Fi routers and a pig tail or a multi directional antenna, at the end of our computers and thus share all of our bandwidth [when not in use or our excess bits and bytes] with our neighbors and all the people in our communities — in order to have robust WI-Fi enabled communities running our fully enabled wireless internet and VOIP networks.

This new approach to radical Innovation really irked AT&T as well as all other telephone giant monopolies and their cable barons, because it threatened their bottom line by taking away valuable revenue, and the most cherished customer of all. The traveling salesman. The corporate executive. The Mobile Man. And as their innovator’s dilemma came to a head, instead of adapting to the changing world, they decided to kill the Evangelist [Yours Truly], shut down his new companies, and stop the WI-Fi technology revolution hoping to stem the tide.

Good Luck with that.

This battle between David and Goliath ended differently than predicted by the wealthy and all powerful board members of AT&T and the company itself. Simply because I used the power of the Internet and we crowdsourced the WI-Fi knowledge by creating millions of revolutionaries and enabling them through sharing the Wi-Fi technology, open sourcing the basic code, the knowledge, and even instructions of how to built routers out of cheap Linux boxes, how to home brew WI-Fi community central stations, and also how to make simple antennas out of Pringle potato-chips cans, in order to create and run a wireless network in your own community. From Seattle Wireless and our community we open-sourced the code and the DIY wireless networking knowledge and soon Wi-Fi blossomed from Lassa in Tibet, to Manhattan in New York, and from Havana in Cuba, to Kremlin in Moscow. No sacred cows were spared. All the walls the Telecom monopolies put up — fell away and the behemoths withered about the future not recognizing that they are going extinct. The final nail in their coffin came when I made a deal with Steve Jobs to put Wi-Fi in the Apple laptops and then things really took off. We had also earlier unwired the Microsoft campus in Seattle eastern neighborhood Redmond, as we had done to several Seattle’s open source communities like Green Lake and West Seattle.

Little matters that the giant battle ended with me and WI-Fi winning, and thus becoming really successful, famous, and wealthy beyond compare, and with AT&T, then the richest company in the world, going bankrupt and disappearing from the face of the earth. And all this happened in the space of a few short years, because change doesn’t wait for the big Telecom CEO’s and the cable company bosses to put on their pyjamas before they are put to sleep for a very long time…

And thus we go from my fateful lawsuit settlement meetings with the all powerful Board of Directors of AT&T where I tried to school them in the ways of Innovation of a world full of “Wireless Fidelity” which for ease of understanding by their sclerotic brains and for popular convenience — I named it “Wi-Fi” and shared it as such on my blog and through my web of Wi=Fi companies across this earth. And thus Wi-Fi stuck with the people and all the consumers of computer hardwire started demanding from manufacturers that their machines come equipped with Wi-Fi. Heady days from a simple innovation existing in the physics and wireless propagation signals of IEEE for many years until we started sharing it with the public on the free spectrum we called 802.11 [a,b,c,d,g etc] and it was an unpronounceable name all made up of sets of figures and numbers only fit for geeky memory enhanced engineers. So I changed all that to Wi-Fi as in Hi-Fi due to my love of listening to high fidelity classical and jazz music.

And thus Wi-Fi came to being…

Now all the Top Executives use Wi-Fi and the Mobile Man is forever untethered from the big companies, but so is everybody else. Telecoms business models evolved and all things are becoming wireless. But back on the Board of Director Meetings with AT&T’s powerful oligarchs, where I told them God’s awful truth about Progress and Innovation of Wireless Fidelity… they wouldn’t see reason and thus we had a real fight in our hands. They were many and well lawyered up, but I don’t scare easy, so I persisted and they finally listened or at least tolerated me and allowed me to tell them all I could muster. Thus I spoke in earnest and painted a real bloody picture of the coming technological wireless Apocalypse and about how the sky is gonna be falling all over their heads — if they don’t heed the clarion call of Innovation in the Telecoms world that wireless Internet is bringing on. That’s all I spoke about. I spoke candidly. I spoke true. And I gave them the only road map to the future of Telecoms anyone had, not because I knew it all but because I was innovating in the midst of it. I deeply understood Telecoms and was innovating all of it.

Had they been smarter or had they truly believed me — they could have gone on and built the greatest Wireless company the world could have envisioned… And along the way they could have given a new lease to Life to the old AT&T for another hundred years of Good Profits and Upside to the shareholders of the first Telecom company to rule the world. I could see the doubt and incredulity in their eyes… Still, I told them everything. I held nothing back. Part of the deal you see…

And what came of it?

Do you think they listened?

Yes and No.

They heard what they wanted from our long and tense discussions. But embracing Wi-Fi and all it’s glory they didn’t want to do. As far as Innovating on the incoming wireless revolution — they just didn’t get it. When I told them that soon enough everything will be wireless — they simply became defensive and shut down. But that came to pass and they could have embraced the future rapidly becoming the present — yet instead they clinged to the past and simply followed their lawyers defensive position and started sending nasty threatening letters and suing all their best customers and consumers who dared to share. They sued their own livelihood by suing the consumers who shared their bandwidth wirelessly and all the other telephone and cable companies followed suit by sending millions of harassing threatening letters “Cease And Desist” orders to people. Trying to scare off your people is a far cry from actually scaring them off and by telling them to stop sharing their bandwidth as WI-Fi with their neighbors — they accomplished the opposite result. Overnight Wi-Fi became a national and international sensation and yours truly became famous and wealthy.

And of their idea to scare people off from sharing the Wi-Fi juice — well — we fought back on behalf of the people and even gained some hard Allies in our battle for the interests of Society and People. We even gor a dozen or so Amicus Briefs for our cause and we even got a celebrated Brief from a Progressive Federal judge who gave us a letter stating that since consumers pay so much per moth for their connectivity, they had every right to share the bandwidth, just as much they like. It is the same the judge stated as if I give a glass of water or  lend my waterhose, or a bucket of water to my neighbor to quench his thirst or water his plants oe wash the car etc. With the help of these Amicus Briefs in front of the court and also with a letter from the then FCC Chairman, we established beyond any doubt the benevolence of sharing Wi-Fi and that it was materially the same as you pay the water utility to give you a set amount of water per month so that you can use as you please. The same principle exists now for the Wi-FI bandwidth we receive in exchange for a monthly fee from the telephone utility. ANd all the consumers worldwide have me to Thank for this Innovation that took an abundant amount of work, risk, and treasure to accomplish on behalf of everyone…

That’s how Innovation takes root. First they laugh at you — then they fight you — and soon enough You have won.

And this Wi-Fi thingy, the old Wireless Fidelity, blossomed and conquered the world although it was not that fidel. It had all the problems of nascent technologies but with each iteration of the 802.11 standard, it got better. The “d’ got so much better that the “a” or the “b” version of 802.11, but the most important innovation was my calling this awesome new wireless technology “Wi-Fi”  instead of “IEEE 802.11″ and acronyms followed by multi-lettered engineering jargons. Amongst my  many many innovative businesses and applications built on top of WI-Fi and many Billion dollar companies that were created upon this Technology I pioneered — I still count the naming of it as the most significant marketing achievement.

For the sake of the argument, I ask the rhetorical question: Could the At&T stop Wi-Fi in it’s infancy?

I doubt it.

They surely tried and gave it their best, but they failed.

They should have known better and embraced it… especially knowing whom they were up against.

But  now all that is history.

Yet as am gearing up for a second WI-Fi revolution I need to remind the troops that times are a-changing again in the wireless Telecommunications world.

Things are a-changing not only because I decreed them to be changing, but because we need to free up the Wi-Fi from fear, uncertainty, and doubt.

We need to free our people and our wireless connectivity because it’s the thing that brings us all together in community of purpose. We shall aim to free our wireless “Air” that we need to breathe in order to create meaning over our communities all over again. We need to free Wi-Fi from the password protected concentration camp of fear, that has been   set-up by the Telecoms in the minds of the people. We need to free up our wireless lives because this locking down of the WI-Fi with passwords and user identification, has only sprung up as a rear guard defense mechanism coming from the same soon to be extinct telephone companies trying to stop Innovation from occurring. They are holding their finger up the crack of the dam bursting on top of their silly heads. But for now they intimidate through fear the people holding consumers and their clients hostages, and thus limit people’s natural desire to share. In turn this blocks the built-out and the massive roll-out of robust wireless local area networked communities that we all need in order to create the Ecosystem of Meaning and Purpose we all want to inhabit.

We need this freedom in our midst and especially in our communities in order to fully function as accomplished human beings belonging and operating in communities of purpose and meaningful work, as intelligent cells of the global brain that is taking shape as we speak.

Further we need to recognize that limiting our Wi-Fi it actually imprisons us in a jail of disconnection, separation, and enmity. And wherever I travel and see this lock-down of Wi-Fi with silly long passwords and user identification, am also reminded that this is the way of the oppressors stealing your Liberty and tracking down all your communications. It is the snoops and the spies and the illegal trolls and haters that benefit the most along with the Telecoms, from the lock down of the Wi-Fi streaming from your home or office.

Do your self a Favour and remove the passwords from your router and allow this action to remind you that this is your first action of regaining your Liberty and your Democracy.

When you do this you’ll feel a bit of uncertainty at first worrying of what might happen next. But truly I must remind you that what you just did, is an Act of Loving Kindness to remove the limit of your mind’s reach and to offer a bit of wi-fi water to a thirsty traveler as you yourself will surely be when outside of your comfort zone.

I have a personal stake in this because removing the “password walls” that limit your Life, we can be creating highly intelligent communities of purpose and meaning — yet this also augments my Vision of a world communication infrastructure without artificial barriers. And it also makes the case for smarter telecommunication companies because it represents a far better business case to let people and their connectivity free in the open space of the wireless spectrum that is dedicated to the public, and make plenty of money from the abundant ecosystem of products, services, and applications, built upon it. And the new Telecom companies who get it — really get it — will be created soon based on this premise. Companies that will take advantage of the evolution towards the synaptically connected wireless Global Brain. And thus we will soon have far more free bandwidth for the Community and the people, as we move from analog to digital TV and new wireless white space is freed up in the wireless spectrum.

If you ask me, or if the FCC chairman and the board need input, I’ll tell you that this is the new greenfield opportunity for all. It will provide a great big push for innovation and jobs, far greater than the cellular spectrum and the internet enabled. It will allow us to create companies and services unheard of today, and many of them undreamed even by me. ANd although I’ve devoted my Life to it, there are things I haven’t dreamed of and yet am here to tell you that it is inevitable. Am here to tell you that this has to happen if we want to harness the power of the Global Brain, and usher in a new era of robust Telecommunications. But as usual we are slow on the uptake, always pussyfooting, and blocking our path, by hobbling our best Innovators in the field.

Net neutrality is nothing when compared with the benefits stemming from Wireless Freedom and Wi-FI neutrality.

Still we’ve decided that we are going to built the second generation Wi-Fi based on freedom of communication and speed of wireless internet in the best human communities across the globe. Communities based on information and communication pathways that are as varied as are the human beings building them and rolling out the Wi-Fi renaissance as we are speaking out here and now. We are building Wireless Communications that are completely unfettered and unfollowed by snoops, trolls, and haters of all kinds — while using the glory of the wireless brain.

That is Liberty.

Our Future as Humanity connecting into a Global Brain wirelessly is awesome. And if you see the growth of the few communities that have embraced WI-FI fully, we are on schedule to liberate your router and your bandwidth as soon as you finish reading this.

And by turning on your Wi-Fi to the community, you are also joining this movement to bring value and purpose to all of our communities that are actually doing it to not only reach each other but to also reach out to all seven billion of us and help us knit this incredible synaptic global brain.

A global brain made up of full bandwidth and fully fledged emergent Wi-Fi network that seeks and delivers Meaning, Purpose and Liberty.

And where is AT&T now?

Well, come to think of it, it is a strictly wireless company now. They apparently followed my logic and saw my “reason” but in their own peculiarly skewed way.  They are the cellular provider of wireless telephony. The once richest and most powerful company in the world, is now a zombie. A reincarnated company as a publicly held subsidiary of SBC communications. Southern Bell, bought AT&T’s assets at the bankruptcy court docket. All this because the AT&T board of Directors didn’t want to listen to my Gospel of change when we had our historic meeting in New Jersey and I told them that although as the father of Wi-Fi am a Radical Innovator am also an Angel of Change, and nothing would please me better than help the old company adjust to the new reality of Physics, Progress, and Technological Innovation taking hold in the marketplace. I told them that they can only hold the river back for so long with the artificial dams they put up like eager beavers — but when the rains will come as they always do, they will all be washed away.

Surely the AT&T mobile cellular company of today is far more agile and willing to change than their old namesake… Or is it not?

I’ll be testing that hypothesis soonest when I launch the next wave of Wireless Innovation and will see them trembling and falling off their high chairs. But for now radio silence…

Another company dying because of lack of innovation is Xerox whose research scientists came up with the graphical interface for computer operating systems, the computer directional mouse, the visual operating system, the laser printers, and even the Ethernet, but they couldn’t interest their bosses back East, who were focused on protecting the copier business. See where that got them today…

But judging from my meetings with the CEO of AT&T and with his lieutenants and then with the Top Brass of the Board of Directors, I know that the Big Bosses and the general run of the mill Corporate leaders aren’t stupid. They just want to protect their cashflow and faced with the Pioneer’s Dilemma seldom take the risky high road. Simple as that. They know they are on the job for a limited time and are simply making so much money that they don’t see any reason to risk it all on lots of new ideas and innovations that might or not pan out in the market place.

Risk Aversion becomes the Corporate Culture with predictable results. This Corporate Conservatism naturally extends through the rank and file workers and corporate managers and thus their people instead focus on killing competing innovation again in order to protect their cashflow. And this is how empires crumble…

Still for Society there are serious drawbacks but at least large Corporations allowed for Economic stability in society and for the slow pace of technological change, which in turn set Society’s rhythm in sync. This new slow and little risk pace, allowed many millions more people to forgo many of the risk-mitigation strategies that had been in place for millenniums. Family size plummeted. Many people moved away from arable land and found work and sketched out lives in inhospitable areas. Many young people, most notably young women, saw new forms of economic freedom when they were no longer tied to the routine of frequent child births, and went on to create careers of meaning. Since serious crop failure and famine, was no longer the dominant expectation, most people could predict with reasonable assurances what their lives and careers would look like decades into the future. Our institutions, corporations, unions, schools, career tracks, universities, finance and banking organizations, pensions and retirement accounts, and government’s public employees, were all predicated on a stable and rosy future of steady same growth like the big corporate behemoths annual results macro-chart posted on the Boardroom walls.

Of course this was the lucid dream in an otherwise good night’s sleep.

Now is Time to wake up.

Because although we had the lullaby and the deep sleep — we didn’t think of tomorrow, because we now know, that this golden moment was really a benevolent blip in time. In reality, the failure loop was closing far faster than we ever could have realized.

The American corporate era quietly began to unravel in the 1960s, all the way to the naugties.

Even plastic-fantastic is lost way back in the 70’s when Dustin Hoffman “The Graduate” opted out of a career in plastics, in order to live Life and “Cherchez la femme.” He pursued the girl and stole her away from the altar of mediocrity. He chose procreation instead of plastication and good on him. Plastics pollution is such a blight today that we need biotech to help us get rid of them with terrible side effects and unintended consequences. But even on the corporate world plastics were a giant flop as all byproducts of the fossil fuel industry are on the long term. As an example: When DuPont introduced Qiana, a kind of nylon with a silklike feel, whose name was selected through a computer-generated list of meaningless five-letter words. DuPont had helped to create the modern method of product development, in which managers would identify a market need and simply inform the research department that it had to produce a solution by a specific date. Over the course of decades, this process was responsible for successful materials like Freon, Lucite, Orlon, Dacron and Mylar. In Qiana, DuPont hoped that it had the next Lycra.

But not long after the company introduced Qiana to the market, it was met by a flood of cheap Japanese products made from polyester. Qiana, which only came close to breaking even during one year of sales, eventually sustained operating losses of more than $200 million. Similar shudders were felt in corporate suites across America, as new global competitors — first from Europe, then from Asia — shook up the stable order of the automotive and steel industries. Global trade narrowed the failure loop from generations to a decade or less, far shorter than most people’s careers.

Yet for the average American and European workers, the greatest challenge would come from computers, robots, and applications in successive decade long eras of upheaval. By the 1970s, the impact of computers was greatest in lower-skilled, lower-paid jobs. Factory workers competed with computer-run machines; secretaries and bookkeepers saw their jobs eliminated by desktop software. Over the last two decades, the destabilizing forces of computers and the Internet has spread to even the highest-paid professions. Corporations were created to coordinate and organize communication among lots of different people. A lot of those organizations are being replaced by computer networks.

And Wi-Fi is the killer App that has created more corporate vampires and walking dead company zombies amongst the old telecoms, than anyone recognizes even today. The impact of Wi-Fi has not even been estimated let alone quantified as of today. Much of it is because we do not yet have fully emergent Wi-Fi communities, mainly because the Telecoms have blocked the cities from unveiling it out. Also Wi-Fi is still hobbled in it’s massive roll-out by the illogical fear having been branded as a “security threat.” This is a manufactured fear that the incumbent telecoms have spread to the people thus holding them hostage. And people are locked in their self made prisons, by not sharing their WI-Fi connection and by hiding their greatness behind password protected routers.

Why?

This is not the world we envisioned, and this is not the wi-fi we created. We have advanced the WI-Fi standard so much that we have closed the possible holes in the security and thus when you share your bandwidth, your home office and your computer are not at risk of intrusion.
So through our work, the sharing of Wi-Fi will soon change and the unleashing of the wireless revolution will clean things up massively.

And when you look at it, many start-ups today are reliant on the wireless internet through wi-fi or cellular wireless, in order to enable startups like Uber, AirBnB, Kickstarter, and so many others who are harbingers of a much larger shift, in which loose groupings of individuals will perform functions that were once the domain of larger corporations. This will bring the jobs back into the community and working from home will be cool again. But only the communities that are massively wi-fi enabled and free for all will receive these benefits of wealth and glory.

Limiting and locking down Wi-Fi is like limiting the printing press. History tells us that those empires who prohibited or somehow limited the introduction or the use of the printing press and attempted to control books — all disappeared by the time of the European enlightenment. And the five empires that perished in the aftermath of the first world war — they all had significantly oppressed the book publishing industry and controlled the printing presses.

Knowledge is Power. No two ways about it. Educated people create and bring wealth to their communities. An educated and fully wireless enabled populace is the best guarantee against tyranny, oppression, and lack of Democracy. And we all need to preserve and strengthen our Democracies because we know that Democracies win in both war and peace. Very Simple principle to live by, for the Leaders and the smart Citizens — reading this. That is why the nations, the cities, and the communities, that will encourage the creation of robust Wi-Fi networks will thrive and become the wealthiest communities of this Earth. It’s all in the benefits of the network effects: Education, wealth, power, and glory. But it all starts with the wireless knowledge networks. We simply call it Wi-Fi.

Now you can start understanding where the “Fidelity” part of it comes from…

And Steve Jobs when I gave Wi-Fi to him, he understood it fully, and appreciated my gesture, yet still he wanted to appropriate it as big Egos often do — and then he went ahead and called it “Airport” a really daft name — but who is counting? The name stuck and although Apple helped greatly the outreach of Wi-Fi, by being the first computer manufacturer to include Wi-Fi in their machines — they still call it “Airport” today. But they have it built-in all their machines and smartphones and I don’t care that they still call it “airport” because the world knows it as wi-fi. And they know me as the Wi-Fi network guy and that is all that matters.

Call your wireless whatever you like as long as You have it open to all and sundry without artificial walls so I can come and land in your “airport” and built instant community with you and yours. That is the greatness of Wi-Fi and that is what we want to share again with all those left behind. Those people whose existence is minimized and whose lives are marginalized because they cannot reach out to all of us waiting for the human divine connection. Because when us humans join together in a big wireless global brain – we are Godlike and all of our actions, crowdsourced to the nines, are pure and glorious actions of Divine wisdom borne within us.

That’s the power of the Wireless Fidelity Networks. May the power and the wealth of the Wi-Fi networks is always with you. The wireless you. The wireless networked You. Because let us not forget that the “YOU” as I discussed with Steve Jobs and he correctly understood, is the network. And the “You” can only be a wireless network as long as you are free to move about in this beautiful community of ours. You are the end node of the intelligent wireless network and you can only be that if you are connected…

This earth and it’s communities of Life, is made up of networks and ecosystems knitted together out of networks and emergent life. And Wi-Fi will extend the reach of these networks and their resilience into the fabric of this grouping of networked communities. Wi-Fi networks represent the knots required in the fabric of Life in order to create instantly emergent communities of purpose, and meaningful employment. Whether people have lived there for thousands of years like in Saanna of Yemen, or for a couple of centuries like in Seattle, Washington, or a couple of millennia as in Athens, Greece, your wireless community is first and foremost “You” and then the community around you. The one city that gets it is London and the Square Mile of the “City” the financial heart of the world — where I’ve set up the most robust and the deepest Wi-Fi network that enables more finance transactions and Social Networking than any other city place on Earth.

And it is an intuitive personal Wireless Network because you can be the leader and the node of this community by having your Wi-Fi router open to all and sundry. Friends and competitors, Co-operation is what built this network and that’s Leadership and Community at once.

Evangelizing and rolling out Wi-Fi wireless networks in so many places on the map, where I have built strong resilient Wi-Fi community networks, in all the continents and many countries — has been gratifying but hard work. Still am here to tell you that wealth exists everywhere. From the midst of Africa to the poorest of Latin American countries. And I’ve been to 127 countries out of the 225 countries from the United Nations map, so I’ve still got some work to do…

Yet the revolution is fully loaded…

But out of the Wi-Fi revolution came many fruits whose impact we shall see in the next twenty to fifty years and if you had to know one thing that will explain the next 20 years, that’s the key idea: We are moving toward a period of evolutionary decentralization, crowdsourcing, and the ultimate of sharing economy.

And what our elders are saying for this?

How do you think the power brokers behind the Banks, and Telecoms, and behind the Washington Consensus, and the global leaders are going to address this sea change?

They are taking a page from the old AT&T playbook and are practicing the art of Ostrich style management of fear, threats, risks, and rewards. They stick their head in the sand and are saying that we will need stronger safety nets because technology is destroying jobs at an exponential rate.

Surely, the US, Europe, and the rest of the world, will be a very different place in 10… 20… 30… years, but we are humans. We are explorers, pioneers, change makers, adapters and adopters of all that is new and unseen. So what about doing some exploring and risking again?

Let’s start by embracing the “Constant” of change to begin with. Slowly at your own speed, but please get on with it because the laggards and the Luddites will soon suffer the abject poverty of a failed state.

Still Wi-Fi and all things wireless are great, but these changes are still new, in part because so many large businesses benefit from the old system of corruption, oligopoly, and monopoly and thus use their considerable capital and political muscle, to impede innovation. and that makes the elites richer but it makes society as a whole far poorer and institutes a neo-serf system for the people. The Road to Serfdom exists in all the nations that block innovation and are thus mired in corruption, and lack of progress and development. Case in point is Greece today. The Gaza of Europe, A corrupt place that resembles a “bombed-out” concentration camp under a dictatorial corrupt government that is unable to see it’s people as anything else but slaves. But the changes will inevitably come to Greece too, as they will arrive at breakneck speed to all those left behind. Except when they come at such speed they resemble more a train wreck than the sexy arrival of the orient Express from Paris to Istanbul.

You can see the Arab Spring and it’s end results as proof of what happens when you bottle up Innovation and Liberty for far too long. Blood flow ensues instead of the constant flow of change that brings wealth and glory to your community.

And please remember that it’s our choice which way we are going to go… After all you are Leaders — all of you reading this blog. So act like it.

The future is brilliant and the technological changes brought about by Innovation will become greater, and the results will be far more drastic, and the fate of these countries and companies even more dramatic. The seven incumbent industries — Telcommunications, Utilities, Banking & Finance, Healthcare, Higher Education, Energy, and Government — collectively represent far more than half of the Global Economy. The lives of billions of people will surely change. Their jobs will become easier and far more profitable — if only they agree to give up the false security for the future of wireless communities. Whether they like it or not one thing is certain. Change will come, because Change is the only constant we have.

Go with it. Flow…

Flow is the real meaning of the Universe…

We need to try new things like the freedom of Wi-Fi in all things including Public and Private Policy, and the great spaces of our communities. After all if we don’t try new things and if we don’t innovate how on earth are we going to solve the problems that are blighting us, and are threatening our very existence? Problems ranging from Climate Change and a Warming Planet to a massive Nuclear War and catastrophic nuclear winter. How are we going to solve the lot?

We need to Innovate and use wireless nanotechnology to resolve the nuclear blight nightmare. We need to do this and so many other thongs to engage into this era of innovation. But to get there, we need to take risks and engage in building a world-wide Wi-Fi network in order to allow us the richness of connection and communication between all the people of this earth. We can’t leave anyone behind anymore. We need to built bridges of Wi-Fi for education of the species as a whole. We need to connect the parts of the global brain that are now full of mistrust and fear and who are threatening to blow up our world simply because they feel disenfranchised. We need Wi-Fi globally in order to smooth over the divisions that can only be smoothed over through the constant reach of full bandwidth communication, positive interaction, social engagement, and through the trade of ideas and the Love of sharing. Mistrust and enmity goes away when we have full bandwidth Wi-Fi in a community and I’ve sen this over and over again. Even in a divided city like Cyprus shared capital — the last divided capital of Europe — when I built a wi-fi network spanning the two sectors, people started sharing music and videos and gifting to each other and talking across the wall, like it was Christmas, Eid, and Hannucah, combined.

Wi-Fi sharing of communication and support towards each other within a community — any community — only helps bring people together and fosters bonds of Love. Sharing is Caring. Wi-Fi is Love by another name. Opening up your Wi-Fi connection without password so others can use it even when you are away, is an act of Loving Kindness. It radiated outwards as an act of mercy, like giving water to a thirsty traveler.

No other community building tool, friendship fostering utility, and democratizing medium exists, that is as strong as Wi-Fi. Communities that are smart in deploying deep and strong resilient Wi-Fi networks are inwards and outwards effective. They are wealthy in the Network Effect way but they are also wealthy i the strength of their connections within. Something like the Venetian empire. A well connected community, small in size, but great in reach, brings the wealth of the networks and the world, home to it’s citizens. For Venetians it was the shipping lanes, and for us it is the airwaves.

Yet in order to built and nourish wealthy, powerful, and resilient communities — we need the sharing value of your personal Wi-Fi connection. Sharing Economy without Wi-Fi is impossible. Still the cleverest of ideas goes nowhere if there is no perceived need for it. And the course I always follow is that of inspired marketing demonstrating the need for something that can be a revolutionary game changer…

Still the powerful resist change and it has always been that generally those with power and wealth resist any signficant shift in existing institutions.

And today the nexus of the two most powerful social institutions are the government utilities and the telecommunications companies. And they are both ripe for change through my innovations for Wireless Fidelity and Wireless Electricity. Wi-Fi has already started to change the world massively.

Wireless Fidelity Redux will soon do the same and so much more…

Wireless electricity will follow suit and am working heartily on it too…

Yours,
Pano

PS:

As the corporate ownership was crowdsourced along with their parts and services sourcing in the 1920’s so it is now that the Wireless Telecommunication bandwidth will be fully crowdsourced in the 2020’s.

Wi-Fi is just that manifestation through technology and Community building. As usual the early adopters will enjoy the benefits of this and the laggards will take this short end of the stick.

And it is a just and fair deal because the members of the species that adapt the fastest, are the ones that earn the wealth and glory and thus get to have abundant sex with pretty mates, and then pass on their genes to the next generation. That’s just how it is and that’s how this species goes forward facing the sun. And as we are now entering a shift into an age of wireless computing, communicating, and even commuting, and the adjustment might just require us to retrain and move onward. Is good to know that in a time of constant change, it’s hard for us to predict the skills that we will need in the future but one thing is evident: Everything will be wireless and dematerialized. This is and always has been the world of Ideas. Adapt to it…

Whereas the steady same product corporate era, created a cycle of growing companies, better-paid workers, and richer consumers… we are now needing to move faster to attain the future game. And this vortex, will continue upwards, albeit in a more crowdsourced, random, and even decentralized way, because the wealth will become far more distributed amongst all those building things, creating innovation, and fostering change.

It is good for us to start being unafraid of change again, and to become risk taking pioneers, and explorers all over again, by always pushing the wheel of history forward, and by tilling the Idea land of our Creative Global Brain for innovative progress and development.

Now, real-time wirelessly networked software can make all of our Ideas forward-looking, a company created instantly, a product shipped at the speed of light, and a source of profits streaming in before dinner. It’s living in a flash of inspiration. and it’s great…

So flash your WI-Fi to the ‘hood and hopefully the ‘hood will respond in kind and you’ll get the booty you deserve. But it’s worth remembering, to keep your router open to all because this process never ends.

Wi-Fi Innovation will cause upheavals in both job creation and job destruction. But the net effect is that smart wireless fully Wi-Fi enabled communities will do far better and attract high paying jobs and development whereas the others will lag behind. It will of course be far easier now with Wi-Fi to catch up and we are all going to be independent agents like the footballers of old who made tons of money and had the sexiest chicks at their beck and call with many fans to boot, and plenty of booty.

So unleash your wi-fi to create this crowdsourced wireless revolution but don’t get caught counting your money and your blessings, because our best minds are constantly at work in order to come up with even newer ideas, and newer innovations that will surely put you out of business, and make your company roadkill. That is if you stop innovating and moving forward by embracing change.

So don’t be afraid.

Go Ahead.

Sail to the rim of the edge of the Universe of Innovation and Wireless Fidelity. The future is brilliant and progress everlasting and thus the black hole of failure will continue to suck in dying stars and spin out brilliant new ones..

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